
China and Russia Condemn US-Israeli Strikes but Avoid Military Intervention in Iran
Key Takeaways
- China and Russia condemn the war and withhold military support for Iran.
- They seek to prevent wider war and urge immediate ceasefire through diplomatic mediation.
- Beijing pursues mediation; Moscow weighs strategic gains and avoids direct confrontation with the United States.
Strategic Ambiguity
China and Russia issued strong condemnations of the United States and Israel's Operation Epic Fury.
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Beijing called the killing of Khamenei a blatant killing of a sovereign leader, while Putin sent Iran's new Supreme Leader a message of support.

Despite these proclamations, neither China nor Russia provided direct military assistance.
The National Interest noted China balances while Russia aligns.
Analysts cited by Al-Sharq Al-Awsat pointed to goals of avoiding direct confrontation while realigning influence.
Economic Considerations
China's approach was shaped by economic imperatives and diversified energy sources.
Chinese factories were operating normally with no clear disruptions in trade.

Sky News Arabia noted that China's foreign policy prioritizes Asia rather than the Middle East.
Missed Military Support for an Ally
The extent of China and Russia's abstention frustrated Iran.
“China and Russia have varied approaches to the war now underway between the United States and Israel on the one hand and Iran on the other, but political analyses in Beijing and Moscow agree that the priority is to prevent the conflict from widening and to avoid its economic and geopolitical repercussions”
Iran's strikes penetrated Israeli cities and killed at least 12.
Hegseth warned Iran had almost no military capability to do anything.
Geopolitical Realignment
China and Russia seized strategic opportunities emerging from America's distraction.
Russia benefited from higher oil sales after the US issued a 30-day waiver.

Despite their caution, Iranian faith in Beijing and Moscow persisted.
Sky News Arabia questioned the future of the Beijing-Moscow-Tehran triangle.
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