House Democrats Demand CFTC Crackdown on Military War Bets on Prediction Markets
Key Takeaways
- Seven House Democrats urged the CFTC to crack down on offshore war-bet prediction markets.
- A letter to CFTC Chair Michael Selig demanded tighter oversight of prediction markets.
- Lawmakers cite bets on wars and government actions via offshore markets as regulatory concern.
Democrats Urge Regulation
House Democrats pressed the CFTC to tighten oversight of prediction markets after Polymarket allowed bets on the fate of American service members.
“Lawmakers are pressing securities regulators to crack down on amid several recent incidents of people using the increasingly popular platforms to bet on events tied to the and other government actions”
Moulton called it morally corrupt and completely unacceptable.
The companies let users wager on elections, sports, and other events but have attracted criticism over anti-gambling laws.
Polymarket acknowledged a contract had slipped through internal safeguards.
Insider Trading and Offshore Challenges
Polymarket is an offshore company available in the U.S. on a limited basis.
Kalshi is based in the U.S. and regulated by the CFTC.

Both companies announced self-imposed guardrails to curb insider trading.
The CFTC's rules allow regulation when activities outside the U.S. have a direct and significant connection.
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