UNDP Warns Iran War Could Cost Arab Region $194 Billion and Push 4 Million Into Poverty
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UNDP Warns Iran War Could Cost Arab Region $194 Billion and Push 4 Million Into Poverty

31 March, 2026.Iran.15 sources

Key Takeaways

  • Arab economies face GDP contraction of 3.7% to 6% from the Iran war.
  • UNDP projects $120-194 billion in regional GDP losses.
  • Millions could slide into poverty across the Arab region.

Economic Impact

The UN said nearly four million people could be pushed into poverty.

Image from Al Jazeera
Al JazeeraAl Jazeera

The Gulf Cooperation Council countries and the Levant are each projected to lose more than 5.2 percent of GDP.

Job Losses and Inflation

The conflict could push unemployment rates up by around four percentage points.

Approximately 3.6 million jobs could be lost.

Image from Asharq Al-Awsat English
Asharq Al-Awsat EnglishAsharq Al-Awsat English

Brent crude futures reached $118 per barrel.

Regional Variation

Gulf Cooperation Council countries face losses between 5.2 and 8.5 percent of GDP.

The Levant is expected to experience the most severe humanitarian consequences.

Long-Term Risks

Even a short military escalation can trigger long-term socio-economic impacts.

Declining government revenues could further limit response capacity.

Image from The Arab Weekly
The Arab WeeklyThe Arab Weekly

The UN called for coordinated policy responses.

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