
UNDP Warns Iran War Could Cost Arab Region $194 Billion and Push 4 Million Into Poverty
Key Takeaways
- Arab economies face GDP contraction of 3.7% to 6% from the Iran war.
- UNDP projects $120-194 billion in regional GDP losses.
- Millions could slide into poverty across the Arab region.
Economic Impact
A joint UN-Israeli-US war on Iran could cost Arab economies between 3.7 and 6 percent of GDP.
“The US-Israel war on Iran and its ripple effect throughout the Middle East have had a devastating impact on Arab countries, with millions expected to slide into poverty, according to the United Nations”
The UN said nearly four million people could be pushed into poverty.

The Gulf Cooperation Council countries and the Levant are each projected to lose more than 5.2 percent of GDP.
Job Losses and Inflation
The conflict could push unemployment rates up by around four percentage points.
Approximately 3.6 million jobs could be lost.

Brent crude futures reached $118 per barrel.
Regional Variation
Impacts vary across subregions.
“The US and Israeli war against Iran could wipe out nearly $200 billion worth of economic growth across the Middle East, a new United Nations study found”
Gulf Cooperation Council countries face losses between 5.2 and 8.5 percent of GDP.
The Levant is expected to experience the most severe humanitarian consequences.
Long-Term Risks
Even a short military escalation can trigger long-term socio-economic impacts.
Declining government revenues could further limit response capacity.

The UN called for coordinated policy responses.
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