Trump's Anti-Immigration Policies Drive U.S. Population Decline Risk

The United States is on the brink of a demographic shift unseen since 1918.

“A year after Donald Trump's return to the presidency of the United States, alarm bells are multiplying”

Amnesty International

The Census Bureau reported only 0.5% population growth between July 2024 and June 2025.

Amnesty International

A Brookings–American Enterprise Institute study projects the population could decline by 400,000 people in 2026.

Trump's anti-immigration policies have pushed net migration into negative territory.

The natural increase in population has eroded, with fertility rate falling to 1.6 children per woman.

The demographic decline is poised to have significant economic repercussions.

Brookings-AEI estimates the decrease in immigration would shave 0.3 percentage points off growth.

Amnesty International

Economist Atakan Bakiskan warns of a potential drop in the labor force.

The demographic transition was not as advanced in the United States as in France.

The Congressional Budget Office has moved its forecast for natural population decline from 2033 to 2030.

Amnesty International documented a dangerous authoritarian drift in the United States.

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Lesechos

The Trump administration pressures and punishes media outlets it considers critical.

The government resorts to surveillance, arrests, and militarized forces to criminalize dissent.

Civil society organizations and universities face increasing pressure.

Retaliation against critics has become normalized.