An American expert: the Iranian war has gotten out of control.
Image: Al-Jazeera Net

An American expert: the Iranian war has gotten out of control.

18 March, 2026.Iran.1 sources

Key Takeaways

  • Iran's reaction to the American-Israeli war surpassed Trump's administration expectations.
  • Trump administration did not foresee Iran enduring the initial strikes.
  • Doug Bandow of the Cato Institute voices the assessment.

War escalation and miscalculation

It seems that Iran's reaction to the American-Israeli war exceeded the expectations of President Donald Trump's administration, which Doug Bandow, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute for Defense, says has begun to suffer from things spiraling out of control.

It seems that Iran's reaction to the American-Israeli war exceeded the expectations of President Donald Trump's administration, which Doug Bandow, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute for Defense, says has begun to suffer from things spiraling out of control

Al-Jazeera NetAl-Jazeera Net

Neither Trump nor his administration officials imagined that Iran would withstand the initial strikes, and they based their stance on the assumption that they would achieve all the results quickly, Bandow said in an interview with Al Jazeera.

Image from Al-Jazeera Net
Al-Jazeera NetAl-Jazeera Net

And now, with talk of targeting Iran's Bushehr nuclear plant, the war appears to have spiraled out of control, Bandow said, who based this hypothesis on the United States seeking help from other parties.

It is true that Trump and his aides say the war is going according to plan and that it has not exceeded the time limit that was set, but Bandow says many do not believe Washington's account of the course of the war.

What is clear, in the American expert's view, is that Washington was not concerned with striking Iran's nuclear facilities during this war as much as toppling the regime, but it was shocked even by Iranian attacks on its neighbors, which it did not expect, according to the spokesman.

Therefore, it is not possible to take American statements about this war at face value because they did not account for many of the things that have happened and are happening now, including the large repercussions of the war on the global economy, as Bandow sees.

Bushehr plant and IAEA note

Yesterday, Tuesday, the IAEA said Iran informed it that a projectile hit the Bushehr nuclear power plant site, and it added that no damage to the plant or injuries among staff were reported.

The Bushehr nuclear reactor, also known as Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, is located in the city of Bushehr on the northern bank of the Gulf, and it is Iran's first nuclear facility, and the longest-running nuclear project in modern history.

Image from Al-Jazeera Net
Al-Jazeera NetAl-Jazeera Net

It is also the first nuclear power plant for energy production in the Middle East, although the region had previously seen the construction of research nuclear units in Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Israel.

Economic impact and timeline contradictions

Meanwhile, the American president continues to speak about international freedom of navigation in the Hormuz Strait, which has become almost completely closed since the start of the war, despite the rejection by many countries participating in this operation.

It seems that Iran's reaction to the American-Israeli war exceeded the expectations of President Donald Trump's administration, which Doug Bandow, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute for Defense, says has begun to suffer from things spiraling out of control

Al-Jazeera NetAl-Jazeera Net

The war has shocked the global economy, with oil prices reaching the highest level since 2022, at 110 dollars, which has negatively affected fuel and gasoline prices and many commodities in a number of countries around the world.

Trump's statements about the war, which he said had almost ended, clashed with his later assertion that it would not stop until its objectives are achieved, stressing that he will not tire, as some believe.

Policy aims and regional volatility

The article also notes that Washington sought to topple Iran's regime rather than simply hit nuclear facilities, and that Tehran's actions, including attacks on neighbors, have contributed to a perception that the conflict is broader and more volatile than some U.S. officials expected.

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