IEA Chief Fatih Birol Says Global Economy Faces Major Threat From Hormuz Crisis
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IEA Chief Fatih Birol Says Global Economy Faces Major Threat From Hormuz Crisis

23 March, 2026.Finance.3 sources

Key Takeaways

  • IEA chief warns global economy faces major threat from Middle East energy crisis.
  • No country will be immune to the energy crisis' effects.
  • Birol compares current crisis to the 1970s energy crisis.

Global Economic Threat

International Energy Agency (IEA) Chief Fatih Birol has issued a stark warning that the global economy is facing a 'major, major threat' from the energy crisis caused by the Middle East war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Global economy under 'major threat' from Strait of Hormuz crisis: IEA chief The global economy is under "major threat" from the energy crisis caused by the Middle East war and "no country will be immune" to its effects, International Energy Agency chief Fatih Birol said Monday

AL-MonitorAL-Monitor

Speaking at Australia's National Press Club, Birol compared the current crisis to the combined effects of two oil crises and one gas crash, drawing parallels to the 1970s energy crises and the impact of Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

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AL-MonitorAL-Monitor

The IEA chief emphasized that no country will be immune to the effects if the crisis continues, stressing the urgent need for global cooperative efforts to address the escalating energy disruption that threatens economic stability worldwide.

Geopolitical Standoff

The Strait of Hormuz crisis has escalated into a dangerous geopolitical standoff between the United States and Iran, with tit-for-tat threats dramatically increasing regional tensions.

US President Donald Trump has demanded that Iran reopen the strategic waterway, through which approximately 20% of the world's oil and gas shipments transit, while threatening to 'obliterate' Iranian power plants if Tehran fails to comply.

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In response, Iran has warned it will strike electrical plants across Israel and Gulf nations if Trump follows through with his threats, creating a potential scenario where energy infrastructure across the entire region could become targets in the conflict.

Energy Supply Crisis

The bottleneck has effectively halted most petroleum shipments, threatening not only energy markets but also critical infrastructure in desert nations where electrical power is directly linked to water desalination systems.

Iran's state television has specifically warned that its retaliatory strikes would target power plants that supply electricity to US bases and economic infrastructure, potentially creating a cascade of failures affecting both energy and water supplies across multiple countries.

International Response

International reactions to the escalating crisis have been mixed, with China warning of the potential for an 'uncontrollable situation' in the Middle East while simultaneously working to maintain diplomatic channels.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lin Jian stated that if the war expands further, 'the entire region could be plunged into an uncontrollable situation,' emphasizing that 'the use of force will only lead to a vicious cycle.'

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DWDW

Despite being reliant on Iranian oil and maintaining partnership relations with Tehran, Beijing has made clear it 'does not go along' with Iran's strategy of attacking neighboring Gulf countries.

China has responded to Trump's call for military intervention by dispatching special envoy Zhai Jun to the region for de-escalation efforts rather than providing military support.

Military Escalation

US Central Command head Navy Admiral Brad Cooper stated that the US campaign against Iran is 'largely ahead or on plan,' claiming Iran was operating 'in a sign of desperation' and had shifted tactics from simultaneous large-scale attacks to smaller, more frequent operations targeting both military and civilian objectives.

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Israel has launched a 'wide-scale wave of strikes targeting Iranian terror regime infrastructure in Tehran,' with explosions reported across multiple areas of the Iranian capital.

The IDF also worked to intercept incoming Iranian missiles, urging residents to take cover as defensive systems operated to counter the threats.

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