
Iran War Sends Global Markets Into Worst Crisis Since 2008
Key Takeaways
- Markets worldwide faced turmoil, higher trading costs, and risk-off sentiment.
- European government bonds faced a "perfect storm" amid Iran war.
- UK gilts under European bond turmoil; worst month in nearly three years.
Market Turmoil
The war in Iran triggered a global financial crisis of intensity not seen since 2008.
“The war in Iran has led to a period of turmoil in global financial markets, prompting some investors and traders to avoid risk, which has made trading more difficult and more costly, in a situation closely watched by regulators”
Trading became more difficult and costly worldwide as market makers pulled back.

The bid-ask spread on the U.S. two-year Treasury widened by about 27% in March.
Short-dated UK Gilts suffered their worst month in nearly three years, rising about 90 basis points.
Global stocks lost about $14 trillion in value.
Brent crude surged from $80 to $110 per barrel at its peak.
The IMF warned the economic fallout could reach $2.8 trillion globally.
Energy Shock
The oil price shock reverberated through global supply chains and consumer markets.
Brent crude surged from $80 to over $110 per barrel by mid-March.

Chinese carriers increased fuel surcharges.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz forced oil-importing nations to deploy naval assets.
Turkey began negotiations to secure alternative supplies from Azerbaijan.
Airline industries faced a projected $20 billion in costs.
Fiscal Strains
Iran threatened to block exports as exports faltered.
“The Iran war and a mounting energy crisis battered UK government bonds in March, with short-dated Gilts registering their worst month in nearly three years”
Iran's trade balance swung to a $1.6 billion deficit in March.
Pressure mounted on state finances as oil revenue plunged and military spending soared.
Turkey's stimulus package failed to stabilize the currency.
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