Pakistan Government Guarantees Rs659 Billion to Bail Out Power Sector Circular Debt

Pakistan Government Guarantees Rs659 Billion to Bail Out Power Sector Circular Debt

08 November, 20257 sources compared
Pakistan

Key Points from 7 News Sources

  1. 1

    Economic Coordination Committee approved Rs659.6 billion government guarantee for power sector debt

  2. 2

    The Rs659.6 billion guarantee supports settlement of Rs1.225 trillion circular debt involving Power Holding Limited

  3. 3

    Home Remittance Incentive Scheme subsidy will be phased out by 2027 alongside tariff rationalization

Full Analysis Summary

Pakistan Circular Debt Plan

Pakistan’s Economic Coordination Committee (ECC), chaired by Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, approved a government guarantee of around Rs659.6 billion.

This guarantee is part of a larger Rs1.225 trillion circular debt financing plan for the power and gas sector.

The move aims to address Pakistan’s persistent circular debt problem by expediting payments.

These payments include clearing dues to independent power producers (IPPs) and settling Power Holding Limited’s (PHL) debt.

The plan also seeks to stabilize the energy sector’s finances.

In some reports, it is noted that the plan supports consumer relief and sustainability goals.

Coverage Differences

tone/narrative

Arab News (West Asian) and Arab News PK (West Asian) frame the decision as a macroeconomic step to address a long-running burden from circular debt, emphasizing the systemic strain and debt servicing. Profit by Pakistan Today (Asian) and The Express Tribune (Asian) focus on granular mechanics (IPPs and PHL), while Geo TV (Other) emphasizes sector sustainability and even reducing consumer costs.

missed information

West Asian outlets (Arab News, Arab News PK) do not detail the specific use of funds for IPPs and PHL, whereas Asian outlets (Profit, Express Tribune) explicitly identify these channels.

Electricity Sector Financing Plan

The financing mechanism relies on a bank loan backed by a sovereign guarantee and a Letter of Comfort from the Finance Division.

Lenders initially refused to fund the sector without additional assurances.

Electricity consumers are slated to repay the loan via a Rs3.23 per unit surcharge.

The proceeds help settle PHL debt and overdue IPP payments.

These steps are presented variously as stabilizing sector finances or easing consumer burdens.

Coverage Differences

contradiction

Geo TV (Other) frames the package as contributing to “reducing consumer costs,” while Profit by Pakistan Today (Asian) and The Express Tribune (Asian) report concerns within the ECC that tariffs may not decline and could rise due to ongoing adjustments.

unique/off-topic detail

The Express Tribune (Asian) uniquely details banking conditions and execution, noting banks’ initial refusal, the need for a Letter of Comfort, and Habib Bank Limited’s role—specifics not present in West Asian summaries or Geo TV’s broader framing.

missed information

West Asian sources (Arab News, Arab News PK) do not mention the Rs3.23/unit consumer surcharge or the Letter of Comfort, both of which are central in Asian sources (Profit, Express Tribune).

Phasing Out Remittance Subsidies

Alongside the guarantee, the ECC moved to phase out the Home Remittance Incentive Scheme (HRIS) subsidies by 2027 in a gradual, data-driven manner.

This approach aims to avoid disruptions to remittance inflows.

The government allocated Rs100 billion for HRIS subsidies in the current fiscal year.

Plans are in place to evaluate the scheme’s future after FY26.

Some coverage focused on the power-sector measures and omitted HRIS entirely.

Coverage Differences

missed information

Asian (Profit by Pakistan Today) and Other (Geo TV) sources detail the HRIS phase‑out timeline and approach, whereas West Asian summaries (Arab News, Arab News PK) in the provided snippets do not mention HRIS.

unique detail

Geo TV (Other) uniquely cites a specific budget allocation and review point for HRIS—Rs100 billion this fiscal year and an evaluation after FY26—details not provided by Profit (Asian) in the snippet.

Fertiliser Supply and Gas Allocation

To secure agricultural inputs, the ECC moved gas supplies toward fertiliser production by allocating 170 mmcfd from Mari Fields over two years.

This allocation is supported by a $200 million infrastructure investment.

Complementary steps include shifting three fertiliser plants to the Mari Energies network, completing the transfer of all ten plants.

These plants operate with flexible supply arrangements and pricing linked to OGRA.

Other coverage summarized the allocation and pricing goal as ensuring affordable fertiliser supply.

Coverage Differences

level of detail

Profit by Pakistan Today (Asian) quantifies allocations (170 mmcfd; $200 million), and The Express Tribune (Asian) adds structural changes (three plants shifting, completing ten-plant transfer, OGRA-based pricing). Geo TV (Other) references the allocation and pricing in principle but without the same numerical specificity.

missed information

West Asian sources (Arab News, Arab News PK) in the provided snippets do not discuss fertiliser gas allocations, which receive prominent detail in Asian and Other sources.

Financial Measures in Energy Sector

Further financial measures included waiving late‑payment interest for the Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC).

These measures also involved authorizing new nuclear tariff petitions and restructuring power purchase agreements.

Payments to OGDCL were also approved as part of the financial steps.

Notably, sources differ on the PAEC waiver figure, with estimates of Rs119.5 billion versus Rs120 billion.

There is also disagreement on whether consumers should expect relief soon.

Some members have warned of tariff increases despite the rationalisation steps.

Coverage Differences

contradiction/ambiguity

Profit by Pakistan Today (Asian) reports the PAEC late‑payment interest waiver as Rs119.5 billion, whereas The Express Tribune (Asian) reports Rs120 billion, indicating a minor discrepancy. Both also report tariffs may not fall, while Geo TV (Other) highlights consumer cost reduction, creating a narrative clash.

unique detail

The Express Tribune (Asian) quantifies a Rs89.5 billion lump‑sum to OGDCL via Uch Power, while Geo TV (Other) lists broader payment adjustments for OGDCL and SNGPL, and Profit (Asian) notes authorization of lump‑sum payments without an amount.

All 7 Sources Compared

Arab News

Pakistan economic body approves $2.3 billion for circular debt financing

Read Original

Arab News PK

Pakistan economic body approves $2.3 billion for circular debt financing

Read Original

Daily Times

ECC approves Rs1.2 trillion circular debt plan

Read Original

Geo TV

ECC approves Rs659.6bn guarantee for Power Holding Company debt settlement

Read Original

Profit by Pakistan Today

Rs659.6 billion guaranteed for power sector debt settlement, remittance subsidy to be phased out by FY27

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The Express Tribune

Govt approves Letter of Comfort for Rs1.23tr loan

Read Original

The News International

ECC okays Rs659.6bn guarantee for Power Holding Company debt settlement

Read Original