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Hybrid pressure across Europe
A wave of Russian and other drone-related incidents has pushed Europe into a new phase of “guerra ibrida,” with the Lab24 report describing drones entering Polish airspace between 19 and 23 and being shot down by Poland and NATO forces.
Lab24 also says “Tre jet militari russi violano lo spazio estone per oltre 12 minuti,” while it adds that “Un jet di ricognizione russo vola senza transponder e senza comunicazioni sullo spazio neutrale sopra il Mar Baltico.”
In Denmark, Lab24 reports that “Droni non identificati interrompono il traffico aereo degli aeroporti di Copenaghen e Oslo,” and it links the broader pattern to a wider campaign that has “prima ha usato Lituania, Lettonia ed Estonia come laboratorio, e adesso sta spostando la sua campagna sempre più a occidente.”
The Danish intelligence picture is echoed by Il Giornale, which says the Kremlin’s hybrid war against NATO is “intensificando” and frames it as actions in the “zona grigia” between open conflict and unconventional disturbance.
Il Giornale adds that the Danish services describe the situation as “appena al di sotto della soglia di un conflitto armato,” while warning that the assessment comes “in un momento di crescenti tensioni tra Mosca e l’Alleanza.”
Officials warn, NATO adapts
Il Giornale quotes the Danish defense intelligence director saying, “Abbiamo assistito a diversi incidenti nello stretto danese,” where “elicotteri e navi da guerra” were “presi di mira dai radar di tracciamento.”
In the same account, Il Giornale reports the director’s view that Russia is using military force to intimidate Denmark and “costringerla ad abbandonare il rispetto delle norme sulla navigazione nel Mar Baltico.”
Separately, Le magazine GEO reports that Germany’s State Secretary for Defense Florian Hahn told Welt TV, “Overall, Europe e [NATO] must ask themselves how long they are willing to tolerate this kind of hybrid war.”
Le magazine GEO also cites Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk calling the railway sabotage “State terrorism,” while it adds that Kaja Kallas, head of European diplomacy, spoke of an “extreme danger” to the EU and urged a “firm response.”
The same GEO piece says Italy’s Defense Minister Guido Crosetto unveiled a “150-page plan” that includes creating a “European Center for the Fight Against Hybrid War” and a “1,500-strong ‘cyber force.’”
What’s at stake next
The stakes described by Le magazine GEO center on whether Europe will “turning action into words,” with the article quoting General Michael Claesson, Sweden’s Chief of Defence, saying, “We cannot afford to be afraid and to fear an escalation. We must stay firm.”
“The Polish politician urges allies to redouble their response to hybrid threats and rejects the European initiative to mediate with Moscow”
Le magazine GEO also frames the policy debate around whether rule-of-law states can respond with the same tools, quoting researcher Kevin Limonier: “can states governed by the rule of law afford to use the same tools… and the same strategies as the Russians?”
In parallel, El País quotes Poland’s Marcin Bosacki, State Secretary for Foreign Affairs, saying “the level of hybrid attacks against Poland and other European countries is increasing,” while he argues Russia’s ambitions to destabilize Central and Eastern Europe are “absolutely clear.”
Bosacki tells El País that “Russia only listens to power, the strength and the solidarity of the West,” and he links the concern to “the small corridor between Poland and Lithuania, Suwalki.”
El País also records Bosacki’s warning that “Putin perceives divisions and chaos in NATO,” and it ties that perception to drone incidents, including his reference to “September with 22 drones in seven hours.”
