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Trump Approval Falls to 31% in Reuters/Ipsos Poll Ahead of November 3 Midterms
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Trump approval at 31%, a record low, in Reuters/Ipsos poll ahead of midterms. Voters cite high gasoline prices and costs driving punishment of Republicans in November elections.
Trump approval hits record low
President Donald Trump’s approval rating fell to a record low of 31% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Monday, as Americans worried about high gasoline prices and appeared ready to punish his Republican Party in the November 3 congressional elections. 47% of registered voters picked Democrats and 35% chose Republicans in a “generic ballot” question, giving Democrats a 12-point advantage. 68% of Americans disapproved of Trump’s handling of the economy, including 37% of self-identified Republicans, and the survey gathered responses from 1,679 US adults including 1,279 registered voters.
The poll results had a margin of error of 2 percentage points for all respondents and 3 points for registered voters, while the Reuters/Ipsos poll two weeks earlier showed Democrats leading Republicans by 7 points, 44% to 37%. Al Jazeera framed the same political moment by saying Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to a record low and that Americans angry about rising living costs amid the deeply unpopular US-Israel war on Iran could punish his party at the upcoming midterm elections.
Midterms, seats, and polling
47% chose Democrats and 35% opted for Republicans when asked which party they would vote for if the midterms were held today, and it described the 12-point advantage as the widest ever in the current cycle. All 435 districts in the House and 33 of the 100 Senate seats are up for election, with Republicans holding a slim majority of 218-214 seats in the House and leading in the Senate with a 53-47 majority. Generic ballot polls provide a view of national public sentiment but do not capture the nuances of state-by-state and district-by-district contests that determine control of the Senate and House.
Trump was underwater in 41 states and every major battleground, and 32 percent approve of Trump’s job performance while 61 percent disapprove. The figures come from Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters, based on 137,330 responses collected between January 20, 2025, and October 19, 2026.
Latino voters and economic pressure
Mayumi Castro Fernandez, a Cuban American who identifies politically as independent, said, “All the prices go up — the gas, the food, the health insurance,” while canvassing a Miami neighborhood for the Democrat challenging an incumbent House Republican. “We need a change,” and she told voters that families don’t have “all the money we need.” Latino voters prefer Democrats to win control of Congress over Republicans in November by a 24-point margin, 59% to 35%.
“We are in many ways witnessing an emergent Latino populism that is anti-establishment — meaning both parties.” The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed much of the drop in support for Republican congressional candidates came from a larger share of women saying they would pick Democrats, with 50% of female voters saying they would vote Democratic compared to 32% eyeing Republican candidates.