West Ham, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest, Leeds Face Premier League Relegation Battle With Arsenal, Leeds Fixtures

The Premier League relegation battle for 2025/26 has narrowed to a handful of teams as the season’s run-in accelerates, with Sky Sports placing Leeds, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham in danger alongside Wolves and Burnley.

On Saturday, West Ham were beaten 3-0 by Brentford, and Sky Sports said the Hammers’ chances of relegation “have doubled in the space of 48 hours” after that swing weekend.

BBC

Sky Sports reported that Tottenham produced a 2-1 win at fifth-placed Aston Villa to “leapfrog the Hammers” and drop Nuno Espirito Santo’s side “in the bottom three with three matches remaining.”

Leeds’ position shifted as well: Sky Sports said Leeds were “all but secure” after a 3-0 win over Burnley on Friday Night, leaving them with “a seven-point lead above the relegation zone with three games to go.”

The BBC described the fight as “one of the highest-quality fights for survival in Premier League history,” noting that Forest, Spurs and West Ham were the three sides in danger of finishing in the “third and final relegation place.”

The BBC also emphasized that West Ham’s 3-0 defeat by Brentford punished “poor performances and dropped points,” while it highlighted that Forest, Spurs and West Ham had all won over the bank holiday weekend.

With the table tightening, Sky Sports laid out the immediate fixture pressure: West Ham host Premier League leaders Arsenal at the London Stadium, and Spurs then face Leeds on Monday Night Football.

As the relegation picture sharpened, multiple outlets translated results into odds and run-in scenarios.

Sky Sports said the Opta supercomputer expects “40 points would be enough to secure Premier League survival,” and it added that “In the last nine Premier League seasons, teams finishing on 36 points or more have avoided relegation.”

BBC

It also reported a dramatic shift in relegation probabilities after the swing weekend: West Ham’s chances “doubled from 38 per cent to 77 per cent,” while Spurs’ relegation chances “going from 59 per cent to 21 per cent.”

Sky Sports put Nottingham Forest’s relegation chance at “just a 2 per cent chance of getting relegated,” while Leeds and Crystal Palace were described as having “minute chances” with percentages “0.11 and 0.03 respectively.”

Sporting Life framed the same weekend in betting terms, saying West Ham were “now 1/7 to be relegated from the Premier League” after Nottingham Forest stunned Chelsea and Tottenham won at Aston Villa.

Sporting Life also listed the odds “West Ham - 1/7 - Tottenham - 10/3” and specified “Correct at 17:20 BST (4/5/26).”

The Mirror echoed the flip in the battle, saying “Nottingham Forest and Spurs flip Premier League relegation battle with West Ham in danger” as West Ham dropped “back into the bottom three.”

The relegation fight also came through in the voices of coaches and commentators, with De Zerbi’s messaging and the pressure on Spurs repeatedly highlighted.

“Julien Laurens feels for Tottenham's Xavi Simons, who will miss the end of the season and the World Cup with an ACL injury”

ESPN

Sky Sports described Tottenham’s turnaround under Roberto De Zerbi, saying Spurs “produced a 2-1 win” and that it “drop[ped] Nuno Espirito Santo's side in the bottom three,” while Sporting Life said Spurs benefited from Aston Villa’s team selection and that the result was “coming.”

Sporting Life also described De Zerbi’s impact by noting that Spurs were “one of the division's form teams,” citing a run of “(W6 D5 L4)” triggered by “excellent January business.”

ESPN’s analysis tied the crisis to a wider set of internal issues, including “ill-advised managerial appointments” and “Igor Tudor's 44-day reign,” while it also stressed that the immediate question is “how it will end.”

FotMob captured De Zerbi’s direct language as he urged Spurs to avoid a defeatist mindset, quoting him: “I heard: no, it's impossible, we cry, everyone, we're relegated, no? Not yet, and we must die on the pitch,” and adding, “losers cry, they think negatively, and I don't want people near me who cry or who see things differently than me.”

For Aston Villa, Unai Emery insisted the match would be difficult, telling FotMob: “Every Premier League match is very difficult,” and “I expect a very difficult match.”

The BBC brought in additional commentary from Rory Smith, who said: “Someone is going down with a lot of points, that is the reality of it,” and it also quoted Shay Given saying: “It's so tight now. It's between two, realistically.”

While the core results overlapped, the outlets framed the relegation battle with different emphases—betting markets, survival math, and narrative stakes.

Sky Sports foregrounded probability swings and fixture sequencing, writing that West Ham’s “chances of relegation doubled from 38 per cent to 77 per cent” and that “Spurs then face Leeds on Monday Night Football.”

Sky Sports

Sporting Life, by contrast, leaned into market movement and bookmaker framing, stating “Most bookmakers have now made it a two-horse race, removing Forest and Leeds from the market,” and it anchored that claim with the specific odds “West Ham - 1/7 - Tottenham - 10/3.”

The Mirror presented the same weekend as a dramatic “flip” in the battle, describing Forest’s 3-1 win at Stamford Bridge and Tottenham’s 2-1 win at Aston Villa as “a seismic away win,” and it focused on the emotional and tactical shock of Vitor Pereira making “eight changes” ahead of the Europa League semi-final.

ESPN emphasized Tottenham’s longer-term dysfunction and injury burden, pointing to “Xavi Simons” missing the end of the season and the World Cup with an ACL injury, and it discussed Spurs’ “xG of just 0.05” in a 1-0 home defeat by “Chelsea” in November.

The BBC combined survival math with a “title race” analogy, saying “The high-quality relegation battle more like a title race,” and it highlighted that “for the first time since the 2015-16 season, a team will be relegated from the Premier League with 36 points or more.”

The Independent provided a structured run-in comparison by listing positions, points, and remaining fixtures, including Leeds at “Position: 15th | Played: 34 | Points: 43 | GD: -5” with remaining fixtures “9 May - Tottenham (A)” and “24 May - West Ham (A).”

The consequences of the relegation battle are framed across the coverage as both immediate and historical, with multiple outlets stressing how many points could still be required and how close the teams are to the drop zone.

“Premier League relegation battle 2025/26: Odds, table, fixtures and predictions Leeds, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest and West Ham are the clubs currently in danger of Premier League relegation alongside Wolves and Burnley, with time running out - here, we look at each team's fixtures and probability of going down”

Sky Sports

Sky Sports said “Wolves and Burnley's relegation confirmed,” leaving “only one spot is up for grabs,” and it also noted that “Only three teams have been relegated with 40 points or more in the 20-team Premier League era.”

Sporting Life

It added that “The Opta supercomputer expects 40 points would be enough to secure Premier League survival,” while also stating that “Last season, 26 points would have been enough to stay up.”

The BBC reinforced the stakes by describing a scenario where “for the first time since the 2015-16 season, a team will be relegated from the Premier League with 36 points or more,” and it quoted Rory Smith’s warning that “Someone is going down with a lot of points.”

The BBC also described Nottingham Forest’s momentum as an “extended their unbeaten run in the Premier League to seven matches,” moving them “six points clear of 18th-placed West Ham,” and it said the three points “should be enough to seal Forest's place in the Premier League next season.”

ESPN’s stakes were more personal and structural, noting that Tottenham’s relegation threat comes after “Mauricio Pochettino's sacking five months after the Champions League final defeat in 2019” and after the “Lewis family's ousting of Daniel Levy at the start of this season,” while it emphasized that the club must now “ensure they're competing in the top flight when August rolls around again.”

The Independent laid out the remaining fixtures as the practical pathway to survival, including Tottenham’s remaining games “9 May - Leeds (H), 17 May - Chelsea (A), 24 May - Everton (H)” and West Ham’s remaining games “9 May - Arsenal (H), 17 May - Newcastle (A), 24 May - Leeds (H).”