Associated Press, on Climate, 1 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Flooding forces people to leave their homes in US Southwest

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Heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations in a swath of the Southwest on Sunday, including in a Colorado tourist town bracing for its main river to rise to historic levels, . Officials in Pagosa Springs, a town of more than 2,000 in the Rockies located near ski resorts and known for its hot springs, warned of potentially “catastrophic flooding” as the San Juan River was forecast to crest at more than 20 feet (6.1 meters) late Sunday night.

“To put the forecast into perspective, during the devastating 1911 flood that wiped out most of what existed as the town of Pagosa at that time, the San Juan River crested at approximately 17.8 feet (5.4 meters),” the Archuleta County Sheriff’s Office said in a Facebook post. “This is a potentially catastrophic flood event.” By sundown Sunday, the river’s crest had reached about 14 feet (4.2 meters), according to Vicky Schaffer, a spokesperson for the county.

Roads in and out of the town were closed and residents who weren’t under evacuation orders were urged to stay home. Communities in northern New Mexico and central Arizona, meanwhile, also issued mandatory evacuations while the rains forced the closure of several highways. In the picturesque town of Sedona, Arizona, officials ordered residents near Oak Creek to leave immediately as floodwaters trapped multiple people in their homes. Related Stories 4 Americans and 1 Canadian among the 69 dead in Spain’s train collision 1 MIN READ Belgian prime minister quits after budget talks fail as king mulls whether to accept his resignation 1 MIN READ Uganda begins withdrawing peacekeeping troops that helped repel militants in Somalia 1 MIN READ Arizona expects months’ worth of rain in a couple of days Nearby Yavapai County and the community of Camp Verde issued similar evacuation orders for residents living near swollen rivers and creeks.

More than 100 miles (160 kilometers) southeast of Sedona, officials in Gila County ordered the total evacuation of Gisela, a community of several hundred residents along Tonto Creek. The wet conditions even produced flash floods, river flooding and swift boat rescues in Tucson, some 230 miles (370 kilometers) south of Sedona. “,” said Aaron Hardin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Tucson.

Rain fell nearly nonstop Sunday in Flagstaff, Arizona, flooding local roads and overwhelming storm drains. Authorities were searching for a man who slipped and fell into fast-moving floodwaters “and was not seen resurfacing,” according to a police statement Sunday evening. Outside Our Lady of Guadalupe Church, people filled plastic bags with sand to try to prevent further flooding inside. Luke Willson said water got into the garage, the basement and underneath the church building, as well as in an office where the computers are.

“The pumps are pumping, but they’re not pumping fast enough,” he said. To the southeast, in the Pinetop-Lakeside area of central Arizona, “manhole covers are popping up all over” and residents reported sewage backing up into homes because of flooding, the region’s sanitary district said in a statement. The latest round of soaking rains started Saturday evening and was expected to saturate the region through Monday. The weather service estimates as much as 4 inches (10 centimeters) of rain could fall across the region, fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems.

The weather service issued flood warnings and watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, southwestern Colorado and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada. That includes the sparsely populated Four Corners region where the states meet. The weather service office for Salt Lake City said previous storms already soaked places like Zion and Capitol Reef National Parks, warning that could worsen flooding and “backcountry roads will likely become impassable from this excessive runoff.”

Roads into Colorado tourist town closed Officials in Pagosa Springs said anyone in low-lying areas along the San Juan, Rio Blanco, Navajo and Piedra rivers should head to a designated shelter at a local church. They advised residents not to wait to leave their homes as emergency crews may be extremely limited during the worst of the storm. The highway entering town also was closed to inbound traffic, and residents were advised to avoid contact with the San Juan River after sewage was discharged into it.

Katie German, owner and chef of Bruin Coffee in Pagosa Springs, said downtown had been evacuated and that there was street flooding. German said she was most worried about the one bridge into town washing out and trucks carrying everything from food to fuel not having a way in. Town officials had just lifted an evacuation order from flooding last week only to reimpose it Saturday with the San Juan forecast to crest Sunday night at 21.9 feet (6.7 meters).

“I’m worried about my business, worried about my employees, definitely worried for everybody in this town,” German said. Officials in La Plata County, west of Pagosa Springs, said all public roads were closed due to the flooding. Evacuations were also ordered in nearby Durango, Colorado, where the Animas River was rising quickly. Sedona officials rescue residents trapped in homes In Sedona, longtime resident Michelle Grimm worried about her community after viewing the rushing waters of Oak Creek rising perilously close to the underside of a pedestrian bridge near the center of town.

“I went out at eight this morning and I saw the bridge and I was like, ‘Oh, we’re in trouble,’” she said as she sheltered in place in her home Sunday. “I’ve never seen them rescuing people with helicopters out of neighborhoods,” Grimm said. A video shared by the Sedona fire department showed powerful floodwaters inundating vehicles and rushing past homes and other structures. Other videos and photos shared on social media showed people standing on a pedestrian bridge taking photos and videos as churning, brown waters rushed underneath.

By Sunday afternoon, the drenching rains had largely subsided in the Sedona area. Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs said state air rescue crews were assisting with rooftop evacuations and state transportation crews were helping clear debris. No injuries or deaths had so far been reported, and nearly 20 homes had residents who needed emergency assistance to relocate, said David McAtee, spokesperson for Yavapai County. —- Marcelo reported from New York; Casey from Boston; and Weber from Los Angeles.

Read the original article on apnews.com (opens in a new tab)
What we found (1)

AP reports flash flooding and evacuations across Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico in careful detail, with named officials and residents. It describes months of rain falling in days, but never tells its reader that warming makes extreme rainfall like this more frequent and more intense. A reader comes away seeing the deluge as freak weather with no wider cause.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days”

    Why this matters
    AP quotes a meteorologist describing months' worth of rain falling in a couple of days, the defining mark of an extreme rainfall event. It then moves on without any word on why such downpours are happening.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes this extraordinary rainfall as a chance weather event in a normally arid region, unconnected to any trend.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent and more severe. AP never mentions climate or warming anywhere in the article, so the reader is not told that this kind of deluge is being made worse.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • On the recordIt is unequivocal that human influence, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “as weary residents in the normally arid region deal with another massive drenching”

    Why this matters
    AP's opening sentence tells the reader this arid region is facing another massive drenching after earlier floods, which describes repeated extreme rain. It explains the repetition only through the weather itself.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes the run of floods as bad luck in an unusual season.
    The context
    Repeated extreme rainfall is the pattern that warming makes more likely. The article mentions Pacific storm systems in S20 but gives no line on the warming that loads the dice.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    Heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations across the Southwest on Sunday. Climate change is making extreme downpours like this more frequent and more intense.

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