The Independent, on UK Politics, 25 October 2026

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Labour on course for big majority as Reform UK support drops

Become an Independent member to bookmark this article Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Membership today. Join today Already a member? Log in Labour on course for big majority as Reform UK support drops David Maddox Political Editor Sunday 25 October 2026 12:10 GMT Bookmark popover Removed from bookmarks Close popover Related video: Burnham suggests government could scrap standing charges from gas bills The latest Ipsos poll places Labour on 32 per cent, which Electoral Calculus estimates would yield a 134-seat parliamentary majority under Andy Burnham's leadership. Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives have taken second place on 24 per cent, opening up their largest lead over Reform UK since the 2024 general election. Reform’s support, meanwhile, has collapsed to 20 per cent following police and parliamentary investigations alongside candidate racism allegations. Support for smaller parties has also fallen, with the Liberal Democrats on 9 per cent and the Green Party dropping to 8 per cent. Nigel Farage ally Raheem Kassam dismissed the poll results, warning that the UK faces significant capital flight if Reform UK fails to form a government. In full Reform UK’s support collapses in major boost for Burnham, new poll shows

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