The Guardian, on Climate, 26 October 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Southern California prepares for flooding amid forecast of ‘record-breaking tides’

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Southern California coastal communities are preparing for days of flooding amid potentially “record-breaking tides” this week. The National Weather Service warned that significant coastal flooding was expected in San Diego and Orange counties through Thursday that could close roads and inundate homes, businesses and critical infrastructure. To the north, a wide swath of the coast from San Luis Obispo county to Los Angeles county could see “minor to moderate” coastal flooding with tides as high as 8ft.

By Monday morning, the NWS office in Los Angeles reported that it was already seeing record tides. Preliminary observations from the agency’s San Pedro tide gauge were at 8.02ft, the highest seen in data dating back to November 1923. “Avoid the beaches during high tides, keep farther back from the ocean than usual (waves will run much farther up the beach that expected), stay off rock walls/jetties, and make sure flood-prone property is protected this week,” the NWS office in San Diego said in a statement.

More than a week before the exceptionally high tides were forecast to arrive, the Orange county city of Newport Beach declared a local emergency to prepare for flooding. Staff were deploying across the area to inspect infrastructure, reinforce beach berms and install sandbags and other equipment, the city said. Newport Beach is providing free sandbags and advised residents to inspect vulnerable areas around their properties. Due to El Niño and the Kelvin wave , ocean water levels in the region have already been about 15 to 22in higher than expected, the Newport Beach city manager, Seimone Jurjis, said in a statement .

“A foot and a half may not sound like much, but in a coastal community like ours, it can mean the difference between water staying below a seawall and water spilling into streets, garages and homes, especially during some of the highest tides of the year,” Jurjis said. , significantly damaging homes, destroying a boardwalk and forcing residents to evacuate.

With a historic El Niño unfolding in the Pacific, California is expected to face severe storms this winter. Explore more on these topics California US weather San Diego Extreme weather West Coast Flooding El Niño southern oscillation news Share Reuse this content

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What we found (1)

The Guardian reports record tides, coastal flood warnings and this month's storm damage in Southern California, including flooding and the remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel. It never tells its reader that warming makes heavy rain and intense storms like these more frequent or more severe. The only cause it gives for the high water is El Niño and a Kelvin wave, and that comes from a city official.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “This month has already brought extreme weather in the region, including flooding that overtook city streets and large waves that struck beachside homes.”

    Why this matters
    The Guardian names "extreme weather" and flooding that overtook streets and struck homes, then moves on without a word on warming.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes this month's extreme weather and flooding as weather that just happens, with no connection to a warming climate.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall and other extremes more frequent or more severe. The article never says so anywhere.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “The remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel left a trail of destruction in California”

    Why this matters
    The Guardian reports a tropical storm's destruction of homes and a boardwalk as a stand-alone event.
    The impression it gives
    A reader sees the storm damage as bad luck, unconnected to anything that is changing.
    The context
    Warming has made intense tropical cyclones and the heavy rain they bring more frequent or more severe. The article's only explanation for the region's weather is El Niño and a Kelvin wave, given in S10 as the city manager's view: "Due to El Niño and the Kelvin wave".

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“Due to El Niño and the Kelvin wave”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    This month has already brought extreme weather in the region, including flooding and the remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel. Climate change is making heavy rain and intense storms like these more frequent and more severe.

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