BBC News, on Climate, 30 October 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

UK weather: wettest week for two years but still not enough rain to get out of drought

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Wettest week for two years but still not enough rain to get out of drought Image source, Getty Image caption, Storm Austen battered the UK last week with heavy rain and strong winds By Simon King Lead Weather Presenter Published 1 hour ago The recent stormy weather brought England's wettest week in two years, according to the Environment Agency. However, despite the rain, Wales and most of England are still in drought with parts of southern England in severe drought.

Met Office provisional statistics for October show that the UK received above average rainfall. However, the National Drought Group have said it will take sustained and above average rainfall over a seven month period for conditions to improve to normal. Over the last week we had the first two named storms of the season - Austen and Boelo - which gave much of the UK significant and much needed rain. Rainfall totals ranged from 38mm in central England to 87mm in the south-west and according to Enviroment Agency (EA) monitoring, it was the wettest week across England since October 2024.

In some parts of southern England there was nearly 50% more rainfall than normal throughout the month. As a whole, England has had 111% of it's long-term monthly rainfall, according to the EA. Reservoirs still exceptionally low Hosepipe bans were announced for millions of customers and still remain in place. Rainfall in October has improved the situation in north-west England where the Environment Agency has moved the region out of drought and into 'recovery' status.

Elsewhere across England, despite the wetter October, there hasn't been enough rain to top up the majority of our reservoirs. According to the Environment Agency 11 reservoirs are still classed as 'exceptionally low'. Wimbleball and Ardingly reservoirs in Somerset and West Sussex respectively have less than 20% of their normal capacity. While October has seen a return to wetter conditions, early rainfall tends to be soaked up by soil or runs off hardened ground and hasn't therefore had a significant impact to our reservoirs.

Only once the soil is wet, does it start to be properly absorbed by the deeper groundwater stores. Image source, Getty Image caption, Ardingly reservoir in West Sussex is currently 19% full, only increasing by 2% after the wet weather of the last week No significant rain in the forecast With high pressure developing across the UK, the outlook for the start of November is looking very settled. There is no significant rain the forecast for at least the next week, perhaps longer.

It may not be completely dry however as mist, fog and low cloud in the next week could bring some drizzle at times. Another dry spell is inevitably going to put more strain on water supplies Drought is only over when rivers, groundwater and reservoirs are back to normal levels and according to Philip Duffy, Chief Executive of the Environment Agency, we "need sustained rainfall to recover". The Agency have said that England will need at least 20% more rainfall than average across the next six months to be considered out of drought by spring.

– with Devon, Cornwall and East Anglia most at risk. More on this story How close are we to running out of water? Published 9 hours ago MP raises concern over 'reservoirs running dry' Published 15 October

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What we found (1)

BBC News reports that storms Austen and Boelo gave England its wettest week in two years, but that Wales and most of England remain in drought, with low reservoirs and hosepipe bans. Its rainfall figures match the Environment Agency numbers in other coverage. The BBC never tells its reader that warming makes droughts and hot, dry summers like this one more likely, so the drought reads as bad luck with the weather.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “The hot and dry summer took its toll on our water supplies when England only saw 10% of its average July rainfall.”

    Why this matters
    The words "hot and dry summer took its toll" give the summer heat and missing rain as the cause of the drought, and stop there.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away thinking the hot, dry summer and the drought it caused were a run of bad weather with no wider cause.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made hot extremes and agricultural and ecological drought more frequent or more severe. Nowhere does the article mention climate change or warming.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • On the recordIt is unequivocal that human influence, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “Anything less risks the drought continuing into next year”

    Why this matters
    The words "risks the drought continuing into next year" warn of a drought lasting into a second year, and tie that risk only to how much rain falls in the next six months.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes a drought running across two years as a matter of rainfall luck this winter, with nothing making such droughts more likely.
    The context
    Warming makes droughts more frequent and more severe. One short line saying so would have given the reader the frame for a multi-season drought. The article has none.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    The hot and dry summer took its toll on water supplies, with England seeing only 10% of its average July rainfall. Climate change is making hot, dry summers and droughts like this more frequent and more severe.

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