Arutz Sheva / Israel National News, on Iran, 24 October 2026

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US intelligence warns of advanced Iranian assassination plots

Findings are available in the analysis below.1 finding

The United States is reducing embassy staffing in several Middle Eastern countries after American intelligence agencies warned that Iran has intensified efforts to assassinate US officials and diplomats abroad, Axios reported. According to the Axios report, an October 23 intelligence memorandum addressed to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio states that Iranian assassination efforts have "substantially increased," with some plots reaching "advanced stages."

The warnings concern potential attacks in the Middle East and elsewhere, although the memorandum does not identify specific targets, describe the planned operations or name the countries outside the region where attacks could occur. Earlier this week, the US State Department ordered family members and nonessential personnel to leave the US Embassy in Riyadh and the American consulates in Jeddah and Dhahran. On Friday, additional staffing reductions were ordered at US diplomatic missions in the United Arab Emirates, Lebanon, Qatar and Jordan, according to an American official cited by Axios .

Left out here: Drops what it reported before

The article opens by saying the US is cutting embassy staff after intelligence warned of Iranian assassination plots, then lists the Saudi departures as part of that story. It never says that the State Department linked the Saudi order to attacks by the Houthis on Saudi airports and infrastructure, or that its drawdown announcement did not mention direct threats from Iran. This outlet reported the Houthi explanation itself two days earlier. Without it a reader believes the departures from Riyadh, Jeddah and Dhahran were ordered because of the Iranian plots in the memo.

How we know

The embassies in the UAE, Lebanon, Qatar and Jordan remain open under restricted operations, and personnel have not been ordered to leave, unlike the designated employees and family members at US diplomatic missions in Saudi Arabia. The intelligence memorandum, obtained by Axios , was sent to Rubio by Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton. It warns that information concerning the suspected Iranian assassination plots needs to be shared with a wider group of US government personnel than those currently authorized to receive it.

Clayton offered to lower the classification level of as much of the relevant intelligence as possible, allowing the State Department to distribute the warnings more broadly to personnel potentially facing danger. The memorandum indicates that senior State Department officials have already received the underlying intelligence. The developments come amid concerns about another military confrontation involving Iran, Israel and the United States, potentially following the November 3 American midterm elections.

At a rally in Florida on Friday, US President Donald Trump raised the possibility of renewed US military action against Iran if Tehran does not reach an agreement with Washington. "We may do another little Operation Epic Fury, or [the Iranians] will agree [to a deal]," Trump said. "If they're smart, they will just say, 'Let's get down to business,' but I doubt they will do that because perhaps they're not smart."

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What we found (1)

Arutz Sheva reports a US intelligence memo warning of Iranian assassination plots and attributes the claims to Axios and the memo throughout, including that the memo names no targets or operations. It ties the embassy drawdowns to the Iran warning but never says that the State Department, as this outlet itself reported two days earlier, gave Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia as the reason for the Saudi departures. A reader comes away believing the drawdowns are a response to Iranian assassination plots alone.

  1. Drops what it reported before

    Serious

    What is missing

    The article opens by saying the US is cutting embassy staff after intelligence warned of Iranian assassination plots, then lists the Saudi departures as part of that story. It never says that the State Department linked the Saudi order to attacks by the Houthis on Saudi airports and infrastructure, or that its drawdown announcement did not mention direct threats from Iran. This outlet reported the Houthi explanation itself two days earlier. Without it a reader believes the departures from Riyadh, Jeddah and Dhahran were ordered because of the Iranian plots in the memo.

    How we know

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