NPR, on Climate, 27 October 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

A 'Green Army' is out to thwart El Niño flooding

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Even without the interference of El Niño, Nairobi, Kenya is prone to flooding. Above: Motorists drive through heavy rains in the Kibera community on March 14. Flooding that month took over 100 lives in the capital city. Donwilson Odhiambo/Getty Images hide caption toggle caption i Donwilson Odhiambo/Getty Images Nairobi is a city of rivers, streams and almost six million people. For weeks, Kenya's bustling capital has .

Globally, this year's Super El Niño will likely peak in November or December and continue into early 2027. But Nairobi isn't just watching and waiting. On a sunny October day near the city center, a team of workers in reflective vests shovels dirt and clears debris from the bank of a river. It's unseasonably hot — and hot days usually suggest there's an unusually strong rainy season ahead. Sponsor Message "The best thing to do is to be prepared," says Alex Oyando, a 30-year-old worker.

"These drainage troughs are full of different things. When we remove the dirt, the water can flow — and it prevents flooding." More than 100 people died during rain-induced flash floods last March, and residents have pressured Kenya's government to do more to prevent these disasters in the future. Reporting for El Niño duty As part of the preparations, Nairobi's county government has mobilized the "Green Army," a youth-employment program of more than 4,000 people.

While generally assigned to trash pickups and city greening projects, the workers have been out in full force to prepare for El Niño, clearing drainages and dismantling illegal structures like food stalls. These buildings are generally constructed by the community without government permits and are at an increased risk of collapsing during natural disasters. Earlier this month, Oyando and his colleagues widened a drainage ditch that runs along a busy road lined with stalls selling clothing.

Piles of fabric, plastic bottles and other litter often build up in the stream, triggering flash floods. While the pay isn't as much as he could make elsewhere, Oyando admits, the shifts are manageable and not too grueling. Sponsor Message "It's something that gives me an opportunity to make a living," he says. Many of Oyando's colleagues live or grew up in Nairobi's low-income neighborhoods, which are the hardest hit by flash floods. Aging drainage infrastructure and clogged waterways can cause stormwater to build up.

When it rains, he says, it's not unusual for his street to fill with water and flood his home. "The infrastructure we've had in place for decades was tailored for a population of not more than 2 million people," says Bramwell Simiyu, the chief officer of disaster management for Nairobi's county government. "We're now talking about a daytime population of close to 7 million." A $385 million remedy Kenya's federal government has put in place a $385 million plan to widen Nairobi's waterways , build affordable housing and improve the city's trash pickup and sewer system by the end of 2027.

In addition, the program supports a national youth employment program called Climate WorX, which is working with the Green Army on El Niño preparations. Now, Simiyu says, the county is preparing supplies and evacuation centers for the rainy season. "We're also preparing for a worst-case scenario, where up to about 20,000 households may be affected — mostly in the low -income settlements," Simiyu said. Controversial demolitions In these settlements, the demolition of illegally built structures, such as food hawker stalls, has caused an outcry.

Tobias Sifuna, a supervisor for Green Army teams in the Kamukunji area of Nairobi, says it's a necessary step. "These are small kiosks that are built illegally, by the community — without the authorization from the county government," Sifuna said. But nearby communities rely on them, for income and for daily shopping. Wycliffe Ochieng, a 32-year-old fruit vendor, says many workers in central Nairobi now have nowhere to buy an affordable hot lunch during the day.

"Now, we have to sleep without food because we can't afford it," Ochieng says. Sponsor Message When the county government destroys the shops, it's the community that feels the loss — whether or not the floods eventually come. But it's these neighborhoods that were hit the hardest by the floods during the last rainy season. Ochieng himself had to sleep outdoors, because he could not reach his home in the floodwaters. "This place, it's like an ocean when it's raining," Ochieng says.

"When the flood came, all the food stalls were swept away." His friend, a woman who owned a food stall, died as she tried to escape. He lost his own stand, a small grocery, as well. He struggled to rebuild his business in a new neighborhood, where customers no longer knew him by reputation. "After the flood I really suffered. It was hard to put food on the table," Ochieng says. He says he hopes the county can do more to prevent flooding and safeguard livelihoods.

There are only so many times he can rebuild his life from scratch. "We are all scared. I fear if El Niño comes, I won't come back again." For stories about life in our changing world, subscribe to NPR's Global Health newsletter.

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What we found (1)

NPR reports on Nairobi's Green Army clearing drains and demolishing stalls before a forecast record El Niño, and on the vendors who lose their livelihoods. It recounts deadly flash floods and warns of catastrophic rains to come, but never tells the reader that warming makes heavy rainfall like this more frequent or more intense. The reader is left to see the danger as El Niño, old drains and a growing city alone.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “Nairobi frequently experiences catastrophic flash floods.”

    Why this matters
    NPR states that catastrophic flash floods are a regular feature of Nairobi. It then explains them only through El Niño, ageing drains, litter and population growth.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away thinking Nairobi's deadly floods come from natural cycles and poor infrastructure alone, with nothing about a warming climate making the rain heavier.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent and more intense. The article never says so. A short line saying that climate change is loading the dice for downpours like these is missing from the whole piece.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “braced for potentially catastrophic floods, as forecasters predict the strongest El Niño event on record this winter”

    Why this matters
    NPR gives the forecast of record-breaking danger one cause only: the strongest El Niño on record.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes the coming floods to be a product of a natural ocean cycle and nothing more.
    The context
    El Niño plays out on a planet that human influence has warmed, and that warming has made heavy rainfall more severe. The article mentions over 100 deaths in March and a worst case of 20,000 households affected, yet it never connects either to warming.

    How we know

    • On the recordIt is unequivocal that human influence, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“up to about 20,000 households may be affected”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    Nairobi frequently experiences catastrophic flash floods, and climate change is making heavy rainfall like this more frequent and more intense, on top of the strong El Niño forecast for this winter.

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