The Guardian, on Climate, 2 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Colorado town braces for historic flood as heavy rains batter south-west

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in a swath of the south-west on Sunday, including in a Colorado tourist town bracing for its main river to rise to historic levels, as weary residents in the normally arid region deal with another drenching. Officials in Pagosa Springs, a town of more than 2,000 in the Rockies located near ski resorts and known for its hot springs, warned of potentially “catastrophic flooding” as the San Juan River was forecast to crest at more than 20ft (6.1 meters) late on Sunday night.

“To put the forecast into perspective, during the devastating 1911 flood that wiped out most of what existed as the town of Pagosa at that time, the San Juan River crested at approximately 17.8 feet” the Archuleta county sheriff’s office said in a Facebook post. “This is a potentially catastrophic flood event.” By sundown Sunday, the river’s crest had reached about 14 feet, according to Vicky Schaffer, a spokesperson for the county. Roads in and out of the town were closed and residents who were not under evacuation orders were urged to stay home.

Communities in northern New Mexico and central Arizona, meanwhile, also issued mandatory evacuations while the rains forced the closure of several highways. In the picturesque town of Sedona, Arizona , officials ordered residents near Oak Creek to leave immediately as floodwaters trapped multiple people in their homes. Arizona expects months’ worth of rain in a couple of days Nearby Yavapai county and the community of Camp Verde issued similar evacuation orders for residents living near swollen rivers and creeks.

More than 100 miles (160km) south-east of Sedona, officials in Gila county ordered the total evacuation of Gisela, a community of several hundred residents along Tonto Creek. The wet conditions even produced flash floods, river flooding and swift boat rescues in Tucson, some 230 miles south of Sedona. “We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days,” said Aaron Hardin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Tucson.

Rain fell nearly nonstop on Sunday in Flagstaff, Arizona, flooding local roads and overwhelming storm drains. Authorities were searching for a man who slipped and fell into fast-moving floodwaters “and was not seen resurfacing”, according to a police statement on Sunday evening. The latest round of soaking rains started on Saturday evening and was expected to saturate the region through Monday. The weather service estimates as much as 4in (10cm) of rain could fall across the region, .

The weather service issued flood warnings and watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, south-western Colorado and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada. That includes the sparsely populated Four Corners region where the states meet. Explore more on these topics US weather Arizona New Mexico Colorado news Share Reuse this content

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What we found (1)

The Guardian reports flash flooding, evacuations and a feared record crest of the San Juan River across the US south-west, with clear sourcing for the forecasts and orders. It explains the deluge only through Pacific storm systems and never tells the reader that warming makes extreme rainfall like this heavier and more frequent.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “Heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations”

    Why this matters
    The Guardian opens on extreme rainfall that forces evacuations and threatens a flood above the 1911 record. The article never links this rain to the warming climate.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes this as a freak run of bad weather with no connection to a wider trend.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall events more frequent and more severe. The article contains no word on climate or warming anywhere.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems”

    Why this matters
    This is the only place where the article says what is driving the rain. It names the Pacific storm systems and nothing else.
    The impression it gives
    A reader concludes that the storms fully explain why months of rain fell in a couple of days.
    The context
    The storms are the trigger. A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture and loads extreme downpours, and the record says warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent or more intense. The article leaves that half of the cause out.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    The weather service estimates as much as 4in of rain could fall across the region, fuelled by a series of Pacific storm systems. Climate change is making extreme downpours like this heavier and more frequent.

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