The Independent, on Climate, 8 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Floods bring rare relief to US Southwest reservoirs as Lake Powell rises 20 feet

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Become an Independent member to bookmark this article Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Start your Independent Membership today. Join today Already a member? Log in Recent flooding across the U.S. Southwest is providing rare relief to thirsty reservoirs that had fallen to record lows . Storms in late October and early November sent torrents of water through normally small or dry creeks that overflowed their banks and flooded local communities.

Hundreds of people were told to evacuate, and the flooding cut off access to some areas. Yet most of that water will end up feeding depleted lakes and underground aquifers, said Martin Hoerling, a climate scientist and hydrologist at the University of Colorado, Boulder. “That’s somewhat of an unexpected boost from Mother Nature,” Hoerling said. Last winter's lackluster snowfall did little to recharge water bodies when it melted in the spring and summer, when they typically get their biggest bump of the year.

Experts say its impacts will last several more months, potentially further boosting water supplies across the West where water primarily is stored in lakes, aquifers and snowpack. Lake Powell , the second-largest reservoir in the U.S., rose more than 20 feet (6.1 meters) from its mid-September low — dwarfing its gains from this year's snowmelt, Hoerling said.

Still, the lake remained just over a quarter full, and 15 of its 17 boat launches remained unusable as of Friday. The floodwaters and additional rain could raise the lake along the Arizona-Utah border further, for a total of over 1.2 million acre-feet — enough to support around 4 million average families for a year, Hoerling estimated. Rain brings temporary relief to regional and local water supplies Cities in the region reported some of their wettest weather in decades.

Before storms began dumping about 7 inches (17.78 centimeters) of rain around Pagosa Springs, Colorado, in October, more than 10,000 people in the town and surrounding communities were under water restrictions. Restaurants were encouraged to serve water only on request, town manager David Harris said. Those restrictions are now lifted. “While the storm was destructive, I think there is a silver lining,” Harris said. “You’re getting a good start to the winter snowpack in the higher elevations.”

Upper Lake Mary, which captures spring snowmelt in Northern Arizona and supplies Flagstaff, Arizona, with up to 40% of its water, received more than 3 billion gallons of water since early October, said Flagstaff water production manager Brian Huntzinger. Storms last weekend dumped the equivalent of more than two years of water into the town's surface water supply and provided a buffer for an operation that depends heavily on underground aquifers, Huntzinger said.

“It’s just a great, great thing to see,” Huntzinger said. “We might be overflowing at this rate before we see any snow fly.” In central Arizona, heavy floodwaters that trapped people in their homes gushed into streams that feed the Verde River. That prompted water officials to release water from two nearly full dams into the Verde's normally dry stretch in metro Phoenix , said Bo Svoma, the principal meteorologist at the Salt River Project that manages reservoirs on the Salt and Verde rivers.

Wet weather is unlikely to change decisions on the Colorado River The region remains in drought despite the intense rains. And decisions already have been made to divvy up water in the Colorado River basin. The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, which manages reservoirs in the West, is unlikely to change its water releases from Lake Powell or other areas until it knows when snowpack has peaked, typically around April, said Jack Schmidt, a Utah State University professor who studies the Colorado River.

Reclamation spokesperson Mary Carlson acknowledged conditions have improved but added ”considerable uncertainty remains.” Under the federal plan for managing the Colorado River's Lower Basin, California, Nevada and Arizona will collectively reduce water use by 1.25 million acre-feet (about 1.54 billion cubic meters) annually in the next two years. That is enough to fill over 600,000 Olympic-sized swimming pools, with the possibility of larger cuts depending on conditions.

Nevada and Arizona are challenging the plan in court. Some Arizona cities have agreed to fund preliminary work to reduce reliance on the Colorado River by expanding an existing dam on the Verde River to capture runoff from storms, Svoma said. “We need to figure out how to be resilient in a drier future. And we’re not quite there yet,” Hoerling said.

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What we found (1)

The Independent reports that autumn floods across the US Southwest have refilled depleted reservoirs, including a 20 foot rise at Lake Powell, while noting the evacuations and damage. It credits the heavy rain only to El Niño and calls the drought a megadrought, but never says that warming makes heavy rainfall and drought more frequent or more severe. A reader is left thinking both extremes are purely natural swings.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “Then came the chaotic climate phenomenon, El Niño, that has intensified heavy rain and floods.”

    Why this matters
    The Independent names El Niño as the one force behind the heavy rain and floods, and says nothing about warming.
    The impression it gives
    A reader believes the floods that forced hundreds to evacuate were a purely natural event, with no link to a warming climate.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent and more intense. The article never says so, even briefly, despite reporting destructive floods and evacuations.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“Hundreds of people were told to evacuate”
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “amid a yearslong megadrought”

    Why this matters
    The words "yearslong megadrought" set out the drought that drained the reservoirs with no cause given.
    The impression it gives
    A reader believes the record low reservoirs are the result of a run of bad luck with the weather.
    The context
    Warming has made agricultural and ecological drought more frequent and more severe. The article adds this second extreme, the megadrought, and still gives no word on warming.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    El Niño added moisture to the storms, and human-caused warming is making both heavy downpours like these and long droughts like the Southwest's megadrought more frequent and more severe.

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