Daily Express, on UK Politics, 2 November 2026

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Shabana Mahmood to water down key immigration crackdown after Labour backlash

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Shabana Mahmood to water down key immigration crackdown after Labour backlash The Home Secretary has faced major Cabinet opposition including from Angela Rayner Share Article Share Article Facebook X LinkedIn Reddit Bluesky Email Copy Link Link copied Add us as preferred source Comments By Martyn Brown , Political Editor 06:05, Mon, Nov 2, 2026 Shabana Mahmood (Image: Getty) Shabana Mahmood is expected to announce watered down immigration proposals today (Mon) following a Labour backlash.

The Home Secretary's final decision on immigration rules for legal migrants comes after considering more than 200,000 responses to a nearly year-long consultation. Speculation has mounted that tsome of her proposals – including increasing the five-year wait for claiming indefinite leave to remain (ILR) by up to 10 years for foreign care workers – could be toned down. Tensions in the Cabinet over the policy surfaced when Housing Secretary Angela Rayner earlier this year publicly attacked the prospect of backdating the plans.

Then Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh repeatedly refused to say she backed proposals to prolong the qualifying period for settlement. Article continues below ADVERTISEMENT Cabinet minister refuses to back Shabana Mahmood's immigration reforms Labour's total hypocrisy just left Britain wide open for Putin - it's barely believable Rachel Reeves triggers Brexit fury as she says Britain's future is inside EU Prime Minister Andy Burnham last week said he strongly supported that ILR was a “right to be earned,” but stopped short of committing to bringing in all of Ms Mahmood’s reforms.

Ahead of the Home Secretary’s final decision, the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) said skilled migrants and their adult dependants due to settle in the UK under current rules are expected to make a net lifetime contribution of around £115 billion through the taxes they pay. The think tank, which has been influential in Labour policy-making, said its findings offered a counterpoint to Government estimates that allowing overseas care workers and their adult dependants to settle in the UK would cost taxpayers £10 billion over their lifetimes.

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You can unsubscribe at any time. More Info . Andy Burnham (Image: Getty) It said its analysis, using the same methodology as the Home Office, suggests skilled workers and their adult dependants expected to gain ILR between 2026 and 2030 under existing five-year ILR rules would make substantial contribution to the UK public finances. Article continues below ADVERTISEMENT The figures include health and care workers, as well as those on other skilled worker visas.

The IPPR said it welcomed reports that Ms Mahmood could scale back plans to lengthen the wait for settlement to 15 years for some lower-paid workers, exempting social care workers already in the UK. It said the move would be a “significant compromise”, given around 287,000 care workers and dependants are expected to settle between 2026 and 2030. But it praised the step for protecting a group vulnerable to exploitation and supporting Mr Burnham’s vision for a new national care service.

And the think tank called for ministers to find a compromise for other workers already in Britain, either by retaining their existing five-year route or introducing an interim status after five years providing a pathway to permanent residency and allowing them to change jobs without employer sponsorship. IPPR associate director for migration Marley Morris said: “Public debate has focused heavily on the costs of recent migration, but this is not the whole story.

“Our analysis suggests that over their lifetimes skilled migrants are estimated to make a net contribution of billions to the public finances. “We welcome signs that the Government is planning a compromise for its settlement reforms. “Ministers should honour the rules people came here under or offer a fair compromise that gives them a secure pathway to settlement and freedom to change jobs after five years.” ILR is an immigration status that allows a person to live, work and study in the UK indefinitely and apply for benefits if they are eligible.

Immigration Labour Party Shabana Mahmood Andy Burnham Angela Rayner Share Article Share Article Facebook X LinkedIn Reddit Bluesky Email Copy Link Link copied Add us as preferred source Comments

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About this analysis

The Daily Express reports that Shabana Mahmood is expected to scale back her plans to lengthen the wait for settlement after opposition from Angela Rayner and Miatta Fahnbulleh. It sets the Government's £10 billion cost estimate against IPPR analysis of migrants' net contribution, attributing each figure to its source. Nothing in it misleads the reader.

What it gets right

  • “said its findings offered a counterpoint to Government estimates that allowing overseas care workers and their adult dependants to settle in the UK would cost taxpayers £10 billion over their lifetimes”

    The Express attributes both the Government's cost figure and the IPPR's contribution figure to their sources. It does not adopt either as its own fact.

  • “using the same methodology as the Home Office”

    It tells the reader the basis of the IPPR figure, so the two estimates can be compared on the same method.

  • “ILR is an immigration status that allows a person to live, work and study in the UK indefinitely and apply for benefits if they are eligible.”

    It explains the status plainly and includes the eligibility condition on benefits rather than implying automatic access.

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