New York Post, on Climate, 2 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Flash flooding triggers evacuations in Southwest and dire warning for tiny Colorado town

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Heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations in a swath of the Southwest on Sunday, including in a Colorado tourist town bracing for its main river to rise to historic levels, . Officials in Pagosa Springs, a town of more than 2,000 in the Rockies located near ski resorts and known for its hot springs, warned of potentially “catastrophic flooding” as the San Juan River was forecast to crest at more than 20 feet (6.1 meters) late Sunday night.

“To put the forecast into perspective, during the devastating 1911 flood that wiped out most of what existed as the town of Pagosa at that time, the San Juan River crested at approximately 17.8 feet (5.4 meters),” the Archuleta County Sheriff’s Office said in a Facebook post. “This is a potentially catastrophic flood event.” 5 Members of the Tucson Fire Department’s Technical Rescue Team rescue a woman from her car in a flooded wash in Tucson, Ariz., on Nov. 1, 2026.

AP By sundown Sunday, the river’s crest had reached about 14 feet (4.2 meters), according to Vicky Schaffer, a spokesperson for the county. Roads in and out of the town were closed, and residents who weren’t under evacuation orders were urged to stay home. Communities in northern New Mexico and central Arizona, meanwhile, also issued mandatory evacuations while the rains forced the closure of several highways. Explore More Learjet co-pilot in fatal Florida crash ID’d as 20-year-old who got her license in high school Doomed Learjet co-pilot Nathalia Filgueiras texted boyfriend just minutes before deadly crash Victim of doomed Florida plane heard reciting Lord’s Prayer before jet crashed, killing all onboard In the picturesque town of Sedona, Arizona, officials ordered residents near Oak Creek to leave immediately as floodwaters trapped multiple people in their homes.

Arizona expects months’ worth of rain in a couple of days Nearby Yavapai County and the community of Camp Verde issued similar evacuation orders for residents living near swollen rivers and creeks. 5 Heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations in a swath of the Southwest on Sunday, including in a Colorado tourist town bracing for its main river to rise to historic levels. AP Photo/Felicia Fonseca More than 100 miles (160 kilometers) southeast of Sedona, officials in Gila County ordered the total evacuation of Gisela, a community of several hundred residents along Tonto Creek.

The wet conditions even produced flash floods, river flooding and swift boat rescues in Tucson, some 230 miles (370 kilometers) south of Sedona. “We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days,” said Aaron Hardin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Tucson. Rain fell nearly nonstop Sunday in Flagstaff, Arizona, flooding local roads and overwhelming storm drains. Authorities were searching for a man who slipped and fell into fast-moving floodwaters “and was not seen resurfacing,” according to a police statement Sunday evening.

See Also Monster tides flood Bay Area roads, backyards and football fields as coastal warning issued Outside Our Lady of Guadalupe Church, people filled plastic bags with sand to try to prevent further flooding inside. Luke Willson said water got into the garage, the basement and underneath the church building, as well as in an office where the computers are. “The pumps are pumping, but they’re not pumping fast enough,” he said. To the southeast, in the Pinetop-Lakeside area of central Arizona, “manhole covers are popping up all over,” and residents reported sewage backing up into homes because of flooding, the region’s sanitary district said in a statement.

The latest round of soaking rains started Saturday evening and was expected to saturate the region through Monday. The weather service estimates as much as 4 inches (10 centimeters) of rain could fall across the region, . The weather service issued flood warnings and watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, southwestern Colorado and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada.

That includes the sparsely populated Four Corners region where the states meet. The weather service office for Salt Lake City said previous storms already soaked places like Zion and Capitol Reef National Parks, warning that could worsen flooding and “backcountry roads will likely become impassable from this excessive runoff.” Roads into Colorado tourist town closed Officials in Pagosa Springs said anyone in low-lying areas along the San Juan, Rio Blanco, Navajo and Piedra rivers should head to a designated shelter at a local church. 5 Communities in northern New Mexico and central Arizona, meanwhile, also issued mandatory evacuations while the rains forced the closure of several highways.

AP They advised residents not to wait to leave their homes as emergency crews may be extremely limited during the worst of the storm. The highway entering town also was closed to inbound traffic, and residents were advised to avoid contact with the San Juan River after sewage was discharged into it. Katie German, owner and chef of Bruin Coffee in Pagosa Springs, said downtown had been evacuated and that there was street flooding. German said she was most worried about the one bridge into town washing out and trucks carrying everything from food to fuel not having a way in.

Town officials had just lifted an evacuation order from flooding last week only to reimpose it Saturday with the San Juan forecast to crest Sunday night at 21.9 feet (6.7 meters). 5 The weather service issued flood warnings and watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, southwestern Colorado and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada. AP Photo/Felicia Fonseca “I’m worried about my business, worried about my employees, definitely worried for everybody in this town,” German said.

Officials in La Plata County, west of Pagosa Springs, said all public roads were closed due to the flooding. Evacuations were also ordered in nearby Durango, Colorado, where the Animas River was rising quickly. Sedona officials rescue residents trapped in homes In Sedona, longtime resident Michelle Grimm worried about her community after viewing the rushing waters of Oak Creek rising perilously close to the underside of a pedestrian bridge near the center of town.

“I went out at eight this morning, and I saw the bridge, and I was like, ‘Oh, we’re in trouble,’” she said as she sheltered in place in her home Sunday. “I’ve never seen them rescuing people with helicopters out of neighborhoods,” Grimm said. 5 An aerial photo shows flooding in Flagstaff, Ariz., on Nov. 1, 2026. Sky Yazzie via AP A video shared by the Sedona fire department showed powerful floodwaters inundating vehicles and rushing past homes and other structures.

Other videos and photos shared on social media showed people standing on a pedestrian bridge taking photos and videos as churning, brown waters rushed underneath. By Sunday afternoon, the drenching rains had largely subsided in the Sedona area. Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs said state air rescue crews were assisting with rooftop evacuations and state transportation crews were helping clear debris. No injuries or deaths had so far been reported, and nearly 20 homes had residents who needed emergency assistance to relocate, said David McAtee, spokesperson for Yavapai County.

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What we found (1)

The New York Post runs this AP report on extreme rainfall and flash flooding across the US Southwest, with evacuations, rescues, sewage overflows and a river forecast to beat a 1911 record. It credits the rain only to Pacific storm systems and never tells the reader that a warming climate makes heavy rainfall like this more frequent and more intense.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems”

    Why this matters
    The words "fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems" give the only cause for the rain anywhere in the article. They name the weather systems that delivered it and stop there.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes the deluge as a run of bad weather, fully explained by passing storms, with nothing to do with long-term change.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall events more frequent and more intense. The article never mentions warming or climate change at all, even in a single line.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “as weary residents in the normally arid region deal with another massive drenching”

    Why this matters
    The phrase "another massive drenching" in a "normally arid region" tells the reader these floods keep coming and are unusual for the place. The article then offers no explanation for the pattern.
    The impression it gives
    A reader sees a repeated freak run of extreme rain in a dry region and is left to treat it as chance.
    The context
    The article's own detail points to extremes. It reports a river forecast to beat the 1911 record that wiped out the town, and a meteorologist saying "two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days". The outlet reported "once-in-a-generation" flooding in the same region days earlier. Warming makes heavy rainfall extremes more likely, and the article does not say so anywhere.

    How we know

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    The rain, fuelled by a series of Pacific storm systems, follows weeks of flooding in a normally arid region; climate change is making heavy rainfall like this more frequent and more intense.

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