ABC News (US), on Climate, 1 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Flash floods trigger evacuations in Arizona and Colorado amid heavy rains in southwest

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, including a Colorado mountain town bracing for a river to reach historic levels, as weary residents in the normally arid region deal with another round of overflowing rivers and creeks. In southwestern Colorado, officials in Pagosa Springs, a town in the Rockies located near ski resorts and known for its hot springs, warned in a Facebook post of potentially “catastrophic flooding” as the San Juan River was forecast to crest at more than 19 feet (5.8 meters) around 11:00 p.m. Sunday.

“To put the forecast into perspective, during the devastating 1911 flood that wiped out most of what existed as the town of Pagosa at that time, the San Juan River crested at approximately 17.8 feet (5.4 meters),” the Archuleta County Sheriff’s Office said in a separate Facebook post . “This is a potentially catastrophic flood event. Extensive damage is expected.” Officials in the tourist destination of Sedona, Arizona, ordered residents in areas near Oak Creek to leave immediately as flood waters were rising rapidly and multiple people were trapped in their homes.

Officials in nearby Camp Verde also issued an evacuation order for residents living near the Verde River, West Clear Creek, and Wet Beaver Creek. “We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days,” Aaron Hardin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Tucson, said of conditions that have resulted in flash floods, possible river flooding and swift boat rescues in Tucson, some 230 miles (370 kilometers) south of Sedona.

The latest round of soaking rains started Saturday evening and was expected to bring flash flooding to already saturated areas through Monday. The weather service estimates as much as 4 inches (10 centimeters) of rain could fall across the region, . The weather service issued flood watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, southwestern Colorado, and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada.

That includes the sparsely populated Four Corners region where Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Utah meet. Popular Reads Christa Pike issues 1st statement after surviving botched execution Oct 30 3 dead in midair crash of 2 helicopters near Oregon airport: Sheriff 2 days ago 2 college students found dead after going missing while hiking, police say Oct 29 Pagosa Springs officials said anyone in low-lying areas along the San Juan, Rio Blanco, Navajo and Piedra Rivers should head to a designated shelter at a local church.

They said residents should leave immediately, and not wait as emergency crews may be extremely limited during the worst of the storm. The highway entering the hot springs town also would be shut down to inbound traffic Sunday afternoon, town officials added. In Sedona, officials ordered residents living in affected areas to head to Sedona Red Rock High School. But they urged people not to attempt to drive across roads with rushing waters and to stay away from creek beds and washes.

Sedona Fire District Chief Ed Mezulis said in a short clip posted on Facebook that emergency crews from surrounding communities were coming in to assist as local fire and police officials were already responding to multiple reports of residents trapped in their homes due to the rising flood waters. “Please stay at high ground, watch your alerts and be careful,” he advised. A video shared by the fire department showed powerful flood waters inundating vehicles and rushing past homes and other structures.

Other videos and photos shared on social media showed people standing on a pedestrian bridge taking photos and videos as churning, brown waters rushed underneath .

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What we found (1)

ABC News reports flash flooding and evacuation orders in Arizona and Colorado, with the San Juan River forecast to pass the level it reached in the 1911 flood. It puts the rain down only to Pacific storm systems. It never tells the reader that a warming climate makes heavy rainfall like this more frequent and more intense.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “More heavy rainfall produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations in a wide swath of the Southwest on Sunday”

    Why this matters
    The opening line presents repeated heavy rainfall and flash flooding as weather and nothing more. Nowhere in the article does ABC News link the event to a warming climate.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away thinking the repeated floods in a normally arid region are a run of bad weather with no wider cause.
    The context
    The documented record shows that human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent and more severe. The article never uses the words climate or warming.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    “fueled by a series of Pacific storm systems”

    Why this matters
    This is the only explanation the article gives for the rain. It names the storm systems as the cause and goes no further.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes the Pacific storms to be the whole story behind rainfall that the forecaster in the article calls two or three months' worth in a couple of days.
    The context
    Warming is making extreme rainfall more likely and heavier. One sentence saying so would have given the reader the full picture.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“We are getting two or three months of rain in a span of a couple of days”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    More heavy rainfall, fed by a series of Pacific storm systems, produced flash flooding and mandatory evacuations across the Southwest on Sunday. Climate change is making extreme downpours like this more frequent and more intense.

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