The National, on Climate, 23 October 2026

The National reports a major study on 50,000 heat deaths in Europe and does carry the climate link. But it lets the UK prime minister's case for the Jackdaw gasfield, that more North Sea gas will shield consumers from rising energy costs and fits an ambitious climate path, close that passage with nothing against it. It also never tells readers the 50,391 figure covers only the 854 cities studied, about 40% of Europe's population.

6.0

Serious

out of 10

What we found

  1. Gives a contested claim the last word

    Serious

    “said the move was needed to protect British consumers from rising energy costs”

    What the words do
    The article reports the prime minister's justification for approving a new gasfield and then gives him three uninterrupted quoted sentences, with nothing on what drives UK energy bills.
    What a reader comes away believing
    A reader comes away believing the new gasfield will hold down household energy costs.
    What is actually the case
    The article itself calls the approval controversial and says campaigners oppose it, but never says what they argue, and never notes that UK gas is sold at wholesale market prices set internationally.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“in a move opposed by environmental campaigners”

    Show it in the article

    “Even on our ambitious climate path, we’ll still require oil and gas as part of our energy needs for decades to come.”

    What the words do
    The article carries the claim that a new gasfield fits the UK's climate path as the closing words of the passage, with no check or contradiction.
    What a reader comes away believing
    A reader comes away believing approval of Jackdaw is consistent with the UK's climate commitments as a matter of record.
    What is actually the case
    This is the decider's own claim. The study the article reports calls for a rapid move away from fossil fuels, and the article sets nothing against the prime minister's assertion.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“growing need to rapidly transition away from fossil fuels”

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    Burnham said the gasfield would protect consumers from rising energy costs, though UK gas is sold at internationally set wholesale prices and the study's authors called for a rapid move away from fossil fuels.

  2. Leaves out what changes the picture

    Minor

    What is missing

    The article never says the 50,391 figure covers only the 854 cities studied, about 40% of Europe's population, and that the researchers said it is an underestimate that cannot simply be scaled up to a continental total. Without this a reader takes 50,000 as the full European toll rather than an urban subset.

    How we know

    Show where it belongs

Every underline is part of a finding. Press one to see why.

Europe's summer heatwaves 'caused 50,000 excess deaths'

Europe's hottest summer on record may have killed more than 50,000 people across 30 European countries, researchers have found, as they called on governments to reduce the use of fossil fuels. Scientists from Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine examined excess heat deaths in 854 cities in <a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/tags/europe" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.thenationalnews.com/tags/europe">Europe</a> from June 1 to August 31 this year, comparing it to data for the same period dating back to the year 2000. The modelled death toll of 50,391 was the highest in the research covering the past 26 years, far in excess of the next highest in 2022, when about 29,000 excess <a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/europe/2026/08/14/counting-the-cost-of-europes-summer-of-fire-drought-and-lost-harvests/" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/europe/2026/08/14/counting-the-cost-of-europes-summer-of-fire-drought-and-lost-harvests/">heat</a>-related deaths occurred and 2003, with around 18,000 excess deaths. The summers of 2022 and 2003 involved record-breaking heatwaves. This summer, late June was especially <a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/2026/08/13/europes-river-levels-dwindle-to-record-lows-as-heatwaves-continue/" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/2026/08/13/europes-river-levels-dwindle-to-record-lows-as-heatwaves-continue/">severe</a>, with almost a third of deaths happening from June 17 to July 1, when the daily mean temperature across Europe was more than 5°C above the 1991-2020 average. The heat was a danger only for elderly people. An estimated 6,000 people under the age of 65 are thought to have died as a result of heatwaves during summer this year. Cities in Europe's major economies had the highest total estimated heat-related deaths. The highest was in Italy, where 13,303 excess deaths from higher temperatures were recorded, followed by France (7,268), Spain (6,824), Germany (6,340) and the UK (4,354). The study also analysed weather data and climate models to compare how summer temperatures have changed between today's climate and pre-industrial temperatures. They found that two thirds of the excess heat deaths could be attributable of <a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/europe/2026/07/30/europes-wildfires-up-to-20-times-more-likely-due-to-climate-change/" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/europe/2026/07/30/europes-wildfires-up-to-20-times-more-likely-due-to-climate-change/">global warming</a>, “primarily as the result of burning fossil fuels”. The findings were published as two peer-reviewed papers in the journal <i>Nature Health</i> on Friday. Though the findings provide an estimate, the modelling method used has been found to produce results in line with the records of excess deaths published by national health authorities for previous heat waves. Dr Claire Barnes, a co-author of the report from the Centre of Environmental Policy at University College London, called for “target interventions” to protect people in summers to come. “These numbers are a stark reminder that our hotter, more extreme summers are having an increasingly severe impact on public health,” she said. “Behind these statistics are real people whose lives were lost and real families who grieve for them.” The findings also reflected the “growing need to rapidly transition away from fossil fuels to slow the pace of change and limit future warming”. The research comes as the UK government has approved the controversial <a href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uk/2026/10/21/uk-approves-long-awaited-jackdaw-gasfield-in-north-sea/" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uk/2026/10/21/uk-approves-long-awaited-jackdaw-gasfield-in-north-sea/">Jackdaw</a> gasfield in the North Sea, in a move opposed by environmental campaigners. UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham . “At a time when people are really struggling, it's right that we look in a responsible way at maximising the existing energy reserves we have in Britain that could help. “ That’s why we’re taking a pragmatic approach to the North Sea.” The report's authors also called for cities to adapt to hotter weather. “It is becoming increasingly clear our cities are poorly adapted to rising heat and it is critical we improve our efforts towards adaptation,” said co-author Dr Pierre Masselot of the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. “This means cooling the cities through more green spaces and less pollution, and providing health care for affected populations.” The excess deaths and emergencies from heat also put additional strain on British hospitals, that was comparable to a “really bad winter virus season”, according to Prof Andrew Hartle, an intensive care consultant at the Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust. Hospital buildings and equipment have also not adapted to the heat, he added. “Here in the UK, the summer is historically the quietest time for our health service. This summer, however, saw demand and strain that was akin to a really bad winter virus season. “Patients already in hospital have also been overheating, with much of the UK’s hospital estate largely not built to withstand these temperatures, and there are serious risks to equipment from heat too,” he said.

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