HuffPost UK, by Kevin Schofield, on UK Politics, 9 November 2026

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Reform UK Slump To Third Place In Poll Of Polls As Voters Reject Farage As PM

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Reform UK have fallen to third place behind Labour and the Tories as voters reject the prospect of Nigel Farage becoming prime minister. A new poll of polls by Election Maps UK puts support for Reform at 21.9%, with the Conservatives just ahead on 22%. It is the first time the Tories have led their right-wing rivals since January, 2025. The poll put Labour comfortably ahead of both parties on 29.1%. Meanwhile, a separate survey by YouGov showed the British public would rather have any other party leader, apart from the Greens’ Zack Polanski , as PM instead of Farage.

The Reform chief trails well behind when up against Andy Burnham , Kemi Badenoch or Ed Davey . In a head-to-head with Burnham, 50% of voters would choose the Labour leader as prime minister, compared to just 22% for Farage. When up against Badenoch, 43% back the Tory leader and just 15% support Farage. Lib Dem leader Davey also beats Farage, by 34% to 24%. The only crumb of comfort for the Reform leader is that he beats Polanski by 27% to 26%.

Overall, Burnham is the clear winner when up against any other party leader. “Britons continue to believe that Andy Burnham would make the better prime minister by double-digit margins,” YouGov said. “Even against Kemi Badenoch, Burnham’s toughest competition on this metric and who has also seen a small upturn in her party’s fortunes in recent months, the Labour leader leads by a decisive 40% to 28%.” The findings are yet another blow for Farage, who has endured a nightmare six months ever since Reform won the English local elections in May, and performed well in both the Scottish and Welsh elections.

He is currently waiting to find out whether he has been found guilty of breaking Commons rules by failing to declare a £5 million “gift” he received from crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne shortly before he became an MP in 2024. Listen to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.

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About this analysis

HuffPost UK reports a poll of polls putting Reform UK narrowly third and a YouGov survey of head-to-head preferences for prime minister. It names its sources, gives both parties' exact shares and attributes YouGov's conclusions to YouGov. It keeps the Commons standards complaint against Farage as an open question rather than stating guilt.

What it gets right

  • “A new poll of polls by Election Maps UK puts support for Reform at 21.9%, with the Conservatives just ahead on 22%.”

    It names the source of the figures and gives both parties' exact shares, so the reader can see how narrow the gap is.

  • “He is currently waiting to find out whether he has been found guilty of breaking Commons rules”

    It keeps the standards complaint as an open question rather than stating guilt.

  • ““Britons continue to believe that Andy Burnham would make the better prime minister by double-digit margins,” YouGov said.”

    It attributes the pollster's conclusion to YouGov in its own words.

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