Daily Mail, on UK Politics, 9 November 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Average council tax bill is set to hit £3,000 in just five years, warn Tories

Tap a highlight to see why it matters.3 findings

in just five years under a £16billion raid by Labour. Despite vowing to give hard-pressed families 'breathing space' on the cost of living , , the Mail can reveal. Official figures released alongside the Budget suggest council tax receipts are set to jump from £54billion in 2026-27 to £70billion by 2031-32.

It means the average band D property will be paying £2,958 in council tax by 2031-32 – up from £2,391 this year, according to analysis by the Conservative Party for this newspaper. The Tories said the hike undermines the £100 council tax giveaway announced by Chancellor John Healey, which 'won't touch the sides' of the rise. But households could face an even bigger bill if councils opt for higher rises than the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimated in its economic forecast.

Official figures released alongside the Budget suggest council tax receipts are set to jump from £54billion in 2026-27 to £70billion by 2031-32 Council tax can increase by up to 5 per cent each year without a local referendum, but the OBR forecast – published alongside the Budget – assumes bills will rise by 4.4 per cent and 4.3 per cent over the coming years. The OBR said: 'Council tax receipts are expected to raise £54billion in 2026-27, a 7 per cent increase from 2025-26 driven largely by increases in the rates of council tax in England, Scotland and Wales. 'Receipts are then forecast to rise to £70billion by 2031-32 as both council tax rates and the number of households are assumed to grow.'

Analysis of the figures by the Tories estimated that council tax bills for an average band D property would rise by almost £600 over the same period. Conservative housing spokesman Katie Lam told the Mail: 'This is a council tax bombshell courtesy of Andy Burnham. Labour's £100 handout won't touch the sides when people across the country are facing bills that are rising by far more. 'This is a classic example of giving with one hand while taking with the other. 'With council tax bills soaring to record levels, it's a complete insult that Labour are trying to pass off this meagre offering as genuine help to people who are being left with less and less at the end of every month.'

John O'Connell, chief executive of the TaxPayers' Alliance, added: 'Families around the country will struggle with this huge hike to their biggest cost of living – tax.' : 'This is an OBR forecast – decisions on whether to increase council tax in England are made annually and are ultimately for local authorities, and we expect them to put taxpayers first.'

Read the original article on dailymail.com (opens in a new tab)
What we found (3)

The Daily Mail turns an OBR forecast of council tax receipts into a '£16billion raid by Labour' and a 'cash grab' by the Prime Minister in its own voice. Its own sentences show that councils set the rates and that part of the rise comes from more households. It also rounds the Conservative estimate of £2,958 up to '£3,000-a-year' bills, and gives the government one line at the end against several Conservative and TaxPayers' Alliance quotes.

  1. States one side's claim as fact

    Serious

    “Prime Minister Andy Burnham will instead preside over a fresh cash grab”

    Why this matters
    The Mail states as its own fact that the Prime Minister will 'preside over a fresh cash grab', with no attribution to the Conservatives.
    The impression it gives
    The reader believes it is established that the government is grabbing cash from families through council tax.
    The context
    The article's only basis is an OBR receipts forecast and a Conservative analysis. The OBR forecast assumes yearly rises of 4.4 and 4.3 per cent, which local councils decide within the referendum limit. The 'cash grab' description is a party's claim, not a finding.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“assumes bills will rise by 4.4 per cent and 4.3 per cent over the coming years”
    • Elsewhere in the article“according to analysis by the Conservative Party for this newspaper”

    Show it in the article

  2. Uses figures that mislead

    Minor

    “Millions of households will face £3,000-a-year council tax bills”

    Why this matters
    In its own voice the Mail says millions of households will face £3,000-a-year bills as a certainty.
    The impression it gives
    The reader believes £3,000 is the forecast bill and that it will happen.
    The context
    The only figure in the article is a Conservative estimate of £2,958 for an average band D property by 2031-32. That estimate rests on OBR assumptions about council decisions that the ministry calls a forecast.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“the average band D property will be paying £2,958 in council tax by 2031-32”
    • Elsewhere in the article“This is an OBR forecast”

    Show it in the article

  3. One side gets the space

    Minor

    “A Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government spokesman said”

    Why this matters
    The government's reply appears once, in the final sentence. The Conservative spokesman gets four sentences and the TaxPayers' Alliance one more.
    The impression it gives
    The reader meets the case that councils, not ministers, set council tax only after the attack has been made several times.
    The context
    The point that local authorities decide rises bears directly on the opening claim of a 'raid by Labour', yet it comes last.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“This is a council tax bombshell courtesy of Andy Burnham”

    Show it in the article

Spot something we missed? Report this article

More from Daily Mail

  1. 9 NovWhat should Brits do in a country-wide blackout? Listen to the BBC, they say0.0
  2. 9 NovFindings of inquiry that found education system 'is not set up to serve white working class children' will bring 'lasting change'0.0
  3. 9 NovMet chief reveals eight police forces carried out no 'critical' undercover work needed to tackle paedophiles and drug dealers in the past 12 months3.0
  4. 9 NovJust one in seven staff at the Department for Work turn up by midday6.0
  5. 8 NovRecord number of prime ministers line up at the Cenotaph for Remembrance Sunday after Burnham replaces Starmer in No100.0

Everything we scored from Daily Mail