BBC News, on Climate, 11 November 2026

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About this analysis

The BBC reports fears in Nairobi's Kibera settlement that a strong El Niño season will bring deadly floods. It names Beatrice Khalayi, who died in the earlier floods, attributes key forecasts and figures to named bodies such as Igad, and states plainly that the predicted rains have not yet come.

What it gets right

  • “her sister Beatrice Khalayi, 58, who died when intense rains caused widespread destruction in Kibera”

    The BBC names the woman who died and gives her age, so the earlier floods' toll has a human face rather than staying a number.

  • “A regional forecast from the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (Igad) warned in September”

    The BBC attributes the 81% probability figure to a named regional forecaster and dates it, rather than stating the forecast in its own voice.

  • “So far, the heavy rains predicted have not occurred but experts remain concerned.”

    The BBC keeps the forecast's uncertainty in view and tells readers the predicted rains have not yet arrived.

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