GB News, on Climate, 29 October 2026

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UK weather: as El Nino continues to wreak havoc worldwide

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BREAKING Met refers itself to police watchdog over handling of Thomas Markle allegations 1793293059.835 UK weather: Freezing temperatures could sweep Britain next month as El Nino continues to wreak havoc worldwide A polar vortex could plunge the country into freezing temperatures months earlier than initially thought Sign up to the Weather Newsletter I agree to receive updates and information about my account, the GB News Community, and related products and services from GB News.

Email address Sign up By signing up you agree to the Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy and Community Rules. Thank you for signing up! See the latest from GB News here . Choose GB News on Google - add us as a preferred source Choose GB News Support GB News Champion free speech and independent journalism while unlocking exclusive benefits. Support us Britain could be bracing for a bitterly cold snap far sooner than anticipated, as the record-breaking El Nino continues to wreak havoc across the globe.

The current El Nino event, which has shattered previous records to become the most powerful such phenomenon ever documented, is now expected to weaken the vast band of frigid winds circling high above the Arctic as early as November. That timeline represents a significant shift from earlier predictions, which had placed the disruption around January 2027. Nasa's latest forecasting data paints a stark picture of rapidly declining wind speeds within the vortex.

Wind strength is projected to drop to 12.04 m/s (26.9 mph) by October 31, falling further to 9.15 m/s (20.5 mph) on November 1, before plummeting to just 4.15 m/s (9.3 mph) by November 3. When the polar vortex is robust, it acts as a barrier, keeping the most extreme cold air locked around the North Pole. Should it falter, however, the jet stream weakens, allowing brutal Arctic air to surge southward towards both North America and Europe.

The mechanism behind such a collapse is known as a sudden stratospheric warming event, which the Met Office says can actually reverse the direction of winds within the vortex. Arctic air to could surge towards North America and Europe if the polar vortex falters | GETTY "The stratospheric sudden warming can sometimes cause the jet stream to 'snake' more, and this tends to create a large area of blocking high pressure," the forecaster said.

Such blocking patterns typically establish themselves over the North Atlantic and Scandinavia, according to experts. The consequence for northern Europe, Britain included, would be an extended period of dry, cold conditions. Southern parts of the continent, by contrast, would likely experience milder, wetter and windier weather. WEATHER - READ THE LATEST: Britain to be hit with 'dense' fog as travel disruptions expected Met Office warns 'significant snowfall' will remain part of Britain's weather as Polar vortex looms Weather warnings remain in place after weekend of widespread disruption caused by storms Nasa's latest forecasting data paints a stark picture of rapidly declining wind speeds within the vortex | GETTY Where these two zones meet, bitter easterly winds tend to develop, occasionally bringing significant snowfall — a pattern last seen during the memorable cold spell of early 2018.

Meteorologists caution, however, that individual sudden stratospheric warming events can only be forecast with confidence roughly a week beforehand. Once such an event does occur, its effects on surface-level weather in the UK typically take several weeks to materialise. The polar vortex is not the sole concern for the coming winter months, either. The Met Office has warned that El Nino itself 'is associated with increased risk of cold snaps' | GETTY The Met Office has warned that El Nino itself "is associated with increased risk of cold snaps."

El Nino is a natural climate cycle originating in the tropical Pacific, driven by sea-surface temperatures rising well above their normal levels across the central and eastern portions of the ocean. These warmer waters alter atmospheric circulation on a global scale, with consequences felt far from the Pacific itself. The Met Office has indicated that its influence will persist, with "far-reaching" consequences for weather patterns worldwide.

Our Standards: The GB News Editorial Charter Weather Britain to be hit with 'dense' fog as travel disruptions expected Weather Met Office warns 'significant snowfall' will remain part of Britain's weather as Polar vortex looms Weather Weather warnings remain in place after weekend of widespread disruption caused by Storms Austen and Boelo Weather Britons braced for more rain and 70mph winds as storm approaches Weather Storm Boelo leaves tens of thousands without power as Met Office issues danger to life warnings for parts of UK Weather Britons brace for major travel disruption as Storm Boelo set to batter UK Weather Met Office issues NEW 'danger to life' amber warnings as Storm Boelo set to batter Britain just one day after Storm Austen Weather Britons brace as Storm Austen batters UK with 80mph winds Weather Met Office announces SECOND named storm of the year just hours after Storm Austen Weather Storm Austen to batter Britain with 80mph winds as residents forced to batten down hatches Weather More than 18,000 residences at risk of flooding due to Storm Austen in Buckinghamshire Weather Met Office issues amber alert as Storm Austen set to wreak havoc across parts of Britain Weather UK weather: First named storm of the season to hit Britain in just days bringing with it 70mph Weather Met Office issues yellow weather warning as Britons brace for strong winds that could damage buildings Weather Britain braces for autumn’s first named storm as heavy rain sweeps in Weather Severe drought declared in six counties across Britain as reservoirs buckle from months of no rain Weather UK weather: Temperatures set to rise as high as 23C with late summer air swarming through parts of Britain Weather Met Office issues yellow wind warning in Scotland as England to bask in 21C 'October heat' Weather Britain set for warm air reprieve before blustery winds bring heavy rain Weather Northern Lights to illuminate Britain again TONIGHT in spectacular display Weather Britain to receive last taste of summer as warm front to bring 22C blast Weather Heavy rain to batter Britain as freezing cold front to bring thunderstorms to parts Weather Hurricane Isaias becomes first Atlantic hurricane of the year as landfall expected in just hours Weather Britain set for coldest night of autumn so far as temperatures plunge to single digits across UK Weather Britain to bask in 'unusually warm' early October as UK to see warm and sunny 20C Weather UK weather: Britons advised to stockpile food and brace for polar vortex this winter Weather Hosepipe ban extended AGAIN for thousands of as drought 'to continue into 2027' Weather UK weather: Britain to see 'warmer than average' October as high pressure set to dominate Weather Atlantic storm to bring gale-force winds over next 24-hours Weather Temperatures reaching 26C across Britain in unusually warm autumn burst

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What we found (2)

GB News promises freezing temperatures next month, but its own body says a weakening polar vortex is expected as early as November and its effects at the surface take several weeks to arrive, so the headline's timing outruns the article. The report also credits El Nino, which it calls a natural climate cycle, with the hottest summer ever recorded, and never says that human warming is making such heat more likely.

  1. Headline goes beyond the article

    Minor

    “Freezing temperatures could sweep Britain next month”

    Why this matters
    The headline's words "next month" tell the reader that a freeze could arrive in November.
    The impression it gives
    A reader expects a polar vortex freeze in Britain during November.
    The context
    The body says the vortex may weaken "as early as November", that such events can be forecast with confidence only about a week ahead, and that their effects on UK weather typically take several weeks to arrive. On the article's own account, any freeze would more likely come in December or later, and the November timing is not supported.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“its effects on surface-level weather in the UK typically take several weeks to materialise”
    • Elsewhere in the article“can only be forecast with confidence roughly a week beforehand”
    • Elsewhere in the article“as early as November”

    Show it in the article

  2. Leaves out the climate link

    Minor

    “This particular event has already contributed to the hottest summer ever recorded.”

    Why this matters
    GB News explains the hottest summer ever recorded by pointing only to El Nino, which it has just called a natural climate cycle.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away thinking the record summer heat came from a natural Pacific cycle.
    The context
    Human warming has made hot extremes more frequent and more severe. The article never mentions greenhouse gases, fossil fuels or emissions. One line saying that warming is loading the dice for record heat would have given the reader the full picture.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • On the recordIt is unequivocal that human influence, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“El Nino is a natural climate cycle”
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “greenhouse”, “fossil” and “emissions”.

    Show it in the article

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