NBC News, on Climate, 25 October 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

More flooding possible in Four Corners region after days of heavy rain

Tap a highlight to see why it matters.1 finding

A rain-soaked swath of the Southwest U.S. braced for the possibility of additional flooding as crews in New Mexico scoured evacuated neighborhoods Sunday for dead animals, downed power lines and other hazards left behind by receding floodwaters. With more showers and thunderstorms in the forecast, the National Weather Service issued a flood watch for much of the Four Corners region — the meeting point of Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Utah.

“The soils are very saturated right now, so it’s not going to take much rain for at least the small creeks and streams to overflow,” said Kris Sanders, a meteorologist at the weather service office in Grand Junction, Colorado. In the Farmington area of New Mexico, local officials said swollen rivers were receding but that many people remained evacuated and hundreds were without power.

San Juan County, New Mexico, did not have official figures on the number of homes damaged or how many people were evacuated, but officials were not aware of any deaths, spokesperson Devin Neeley told The Associated Press. “It’s a pretty active disaster zone,” he said. “We’re not on the downswing by any means.” About 4 feet of water flooded the home of county Sheriff Shane Ferrari. He said the area’s situation was stable Sunday, but he and other residents were trying to clean up and deal with damage.

Officials in the hard-hit county urged patience and caution Sunday. Water could be contaminated with chemicals and raw sewage, and gas and propane lines could be broken, among other hazards. “The public is anxious to get back in,” San Juan County Fire & Rescue Chief David Vega acknowledged at a news conference. “We recognize that. We’re sympathetic to that.” “But I want the public to know there are still hazards out there,” he added. Undersheriff Cory Tanner said officials were going from house to house to check for hazards — a process that could take days to complete.

The flooding is just the latest from two months of on-and-off heavy rain in the region caused by tropical moisture coming ashore from the Pacific. After months of drought, other recent deadly flooding struck the Grand Canyon and other areas of New Mexico. “It’s been more or less three or four days,” said Anthony Brown, lead meteorologist at the weather service office in Santa Teresa, New Mexico.

“It’s pretty unusual.”

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What we found (1)

The AP report, run by NBC News, covers days of unusually heavy rain and flooding in the Four Corners region, with evacuations, water rescues and more storms forecast. It never says that human-caused warming makes heavy rainfall like this more frequent or more severe. It names only natural causes, tropical moisture and El Niño, so the reader is left to think the rain has nothing to do with a warming climate.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “The area has experienced unusually heavy rain since Wednesday that caused rivers to surge, flooding homes and forcing water rescues.”

    Why this matters
    The article calls the rain "unusually heavy" and describes surging rivers, flooded homes and water rescues. It gives no word anywhere on how a warmer climate bears on rain this heavy.
    The impression it gives
    A reader takes this as a freak bout of weather with no link to any long-term trend.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall events more frequent and more intense. The article itself reports two months of heavy rain on top of drought, yet never mentions climate change.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Elsewhere in the article“two months of on-and-off heavy rain”
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “climate change”.

    Show it in the article

    “Forecasters said El Niño, the natural and temporary warming of parts of the Pacific, was likely to blame for the latest storm’s unusually heavy rainfall.”

    Why this matters
    The article offers El Niño, described as "natural and temporary", as the only cause of the extreme rainfall, and puts nothing beside it.
    The impression it gives
    A reader concludes the heavy rain is down to a natural, passing cycle and nothing more.
    The context
    El Niño can shape a season's rain, but human influence has warmed the atmosphere and made heavy rainfall more severe. The article's single natural explanation leaves that out entirely.

    How we know

    • On the recordIt is unequivocal that human influence, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    Forecasters said El Niño was likely to blame for the storm's unusually heavy rainfall. Climate change, driven by burning fossil fuels, is also making heavy rainfall events like this more frequent and more intense.

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