NBC News, on Climate, 31 October 2026

6.0out of 10Serious

Heavy rains expected to bring flooding risk to already saturated parts of the U.S. Southwest

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Heavy rains starting Saturday evening were expected to bring a threat of flash flooding to already saturated areas of the U.S. Southwest through Monday, according to the National Weather Service. As much as 4 inches (10 centimeters) of rain could fall across the region, . In the Phoenix area on Friday evening, emergency crews rescued people from several vehicles on flooded streets.

“It’s not going to take much rainfall to be impactful at all in some of these locations just because of how saturated they are,” said Allison Santorelli, a meteorologist with the Weather Prediction Center in College Park, Maryland. The National Weather Service has issued flood watches for nearly all of Arizona and parts of southern Utah, southwestern Colorado, and western New Mexico, in addition to part of southern Nevada. Those watches include the Four Corners region, a sparsely populated area where Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Utah meet that has been hit especially hard by recent rains.

Santorelli said this weekend’s rain was expected to bring both flash flooding and small-stream river flooding. The Phoenix Fire Department said in a post on X that it rescued people from four vehicles on flooded streets on Friday night, while a fire captain in nearby Scottsdale said on Facebook crews were rescuing a person in one vehicle on a flooded street when another vehicle carrying two people drove into the same waters and had to be rescued.

Scottsdale fire Capt. Dave Folio said in a video posted on Facebook that just 2 inches (5 centimeters) of water can “sweep your vehicle off its wheels,’’ and that the vehicles were in 3 to 4 feet (0.9 to 1.2 meters) of water. In Bullhead City, Arizona, located on the state’s border with California, heavy rains on Friday left water, rocks and debris on streets across the city and closed parks, the city said in Facebook posts.

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What we found (1)

The AP report, run by NBC News, warns of flash flooding across an already saturated Southwest after a deadly autumn of heavy rain, and it sources its facts carefully to the National Weather Service and local fire crews. It never tells the reader that a warming climate makes heavy rainfall like this more frequent and more intense, so the floods read as bad luck with the weather.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Serious

    “where a number of weather systems have brought a deadly autumn of soaking rains”

    Why this matters
    The words "a number of weather systems have brought a deadly autumn of soaking rains" describe a run of heavy, deadly rainfall, and the article gives weather systems as the only cause. Nowhere in the piece is there a word on warming.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away believing these repeated floods are ordinary weather, with nothing to do with a changing climate.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall events more frequent and more severe. The article never says so, not even in one line, while it reports rescues from flooded streets and a deadly season of rain.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.

    Show it in the article

    Written straight

    As much as 4 inches of rain could fall across a region where a number of weather systems have brought a deadly autumn of soaking rains. Climate change is making heavy downpours like these more frequent and more intense.

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