Winter weather is expected across Israel on Tuesday, with the possibility of heavy local rainfall, thunderstorms, hail, and powerful gusts of wind that could cause damage. Most of the rainfall is expected during the afternoon hours in southern and eastern Israel, where there is also a significant risk of flash flooding in streams. Later in the day, rain may spread to other parts of the country, generally at lighter intensities, with possible thunder and lightning.
The rain is expected to stop late in the evening. The current weather system is characterized by tropical moisture. Forecasters note that the nature of the system makes it difficult to predict exactly where the heaviest rainfall will develop. On Wednesday, rain is expected to return around midday, mostly in eastern Israel and the Arava region. Some areas may see heavy rainfall within a short period. On Thursday, temperatures will drop further, with local rain expected from midday, mainly in northern Israel.
Temperatures will continue to drop on Friday, followed by a slight rise in temperatures on Saturday.
Arutz Sheva gives a plain forecast of heavy rain, hail, damaging gusts and a significant risk of flash flooding across Israel on election day and the days after. The forecast detail is accurate and matches other coverage. The article never tells its reader that a warming climate makes heavy rainfall and flash flooding like this more frequent or more intense.
Leaves out the climate link
Serious
“heavy local rainfall, thunderstorms, hail, and powerful gusts of wind that could cause damage”
Why this matters
These words warn of heavy rainfall, hail and winds strong enough to cause damage. Later the article adds a significant risk of flash flooding and heavy rain falling within a short period. Nowhere does it link this extreme rainfall to the warming of the climate.
The impression it gives
A reader takes the storm as ordinary winter weather, with nothing to do with the warming climate.
The context
Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall events more frequent and more intense. The article never uses the words climate or warming, so the reader gets no hint that events like this are becoming worse.
How we know
On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
Elsewhere in the article“there is also a significant risk of flash flooding in streams”
Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.
Heavy local rainfall, thunderstorms, hail and damaging gusts are expected across Israel on Tuesday, with a significant risk of flash flooding in the south and east. Climate change is making heavy downpours like this more frequent and more intense.