Trump Administration Prepares 90% Likelihood of Major War on Iran
Key Takeaways
- Axios reports Trump administration preparing a major war against Iran with Israeli participation, imminent.
- Operation described as a weeks-long, full-scale war rather than a limited strike.
- Analysts warn escalation could broaden into longer, broader conflict.
War Planning Intensifies
The Trump administration was preparing a major war against Iran with a 90% likelihood of military action.
The planned operation was described as a massive military campaign lasting weeks, closer to a full-scale war.
The campaign would likely be a joint American-Israeli operation broader in scope than the 12-day war Israel led in June.
Legal and Human Costs
Just Security warned Trump's threats would amount to the most serious war crimes.
Iranian power plants are protected by the law of war the US helped craft.
Iran insisted the Strait of Hormuz would not reopen unless it received full financial compensation for war losses.
Regional and Political Ramifications
Brigadier General Elias Hanna assessed the likelihood of military action at about 60%.
“This article is part of theCollection: Iran, Israel and the United States at War (2025-2026 Operations)”
Any limited strike could be perceived by Iran as a full war.
Diplomatic efforts continued with Iran insisting negotiations be limited to its nuclear program.
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