LBC, on UK Politics, 4 November 2026

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Louise Haigh refuses to rule out tax rises to pay for soaring £353bn welfare bill as she stands in for Burnham at PMQs

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Senior Cabinet minister Louise Haigh has declined to rule out tax rises to pay for higher welfare spending. Ms Haigh, who is effectively Andy Burnham’s deputy prime minister as First Secretary of State, was asked whether she could “promise” that her party “will not put up taxes to cover these ever-increasing costs”. Standing in for Mr Burnham at this week’s Prime Minister’s Questions, Ms Haigh told the Commons: “We have been repeatedly clear that we cannot afford to pay for failure and must invest in success – and that is how we will bring the welfare bill down.

“We will make support more conditional on taking up opportunities, ensuring young people get help they need earlier, tackling the long-term drivers of welfare spending, including high housing costs, and we will do all this in a Labour way.” Read More: Burnham suggests welfare cuts would increase pressures on criminal justice system Read More: Burnham says government is working 'flat out' to cut welfare bill after Budget cost warnings The minister was responding to a question from the Conservative Party’s deputy leader Alex Burghart, who said: “Welfare spending is going to go up every single year of this Parliament.”

He accused the Government of delaying the publication of a review, led by former health secretary Alan Milburn, into young people and work “until after the Budget”, which Chancellor John Healey unveiled last week. “The Government isn’t going to fix welfare and we know why,” Mr Burghart continued. “We know why because the Welfare Secretary (Pat McFadden) told us – the Welfare Secretary said that every meeting he had with Labour MPs was about ‘who can we tax in order to pay benefits’.

“And it’s very likely that (Ms Haigh) was one of those MPs. “We all remember that she was the person who led the rebellion against (Sir) Keir Starmer’s very modest welfare reforms. “So, if the Government can’t reduce the welfare bill because of its backbenches, because of its frontbenches, can it at least promise that it will not put up taxes to cover these ever-increasing costs?” After Ms Haigh’s answer, Mr Burghart replied: “We all know what the Labour way is.

“The Labour way is more tax, more welfare and more borrowing. “There’s no commitment to reduce welfare and there’s no promise not to put up tax. “They know what needs to be done but they don’t have the bottle to do it. “They’re too scared to cut spending and they’re too weak to do the right thing – they’re too busy putting off ’til tomorrow what needs to be done today, and everyone else is paying the price.” The Conservative frontbencher said: “If Labour doesn’t want to do the right thing, why doesn’t it just get out of the way?”

Defending the Government’s position, Ms Haigh said: “I know (Mr Burghart) regards himself as the Tory’s resident historian. “In fact, he once published a paper titled Profile of a Doomed Elite – I’m sure the House will be as surprised as I was to learn it wasn’t a study of the prospects of the current shadow cabinet. “So, as a student of history, he’ll be well aware that few governments have delivered the scale and speed of change that this administration has in our first 100 days.”

To cheers from the Labour benches, Ms Haigh continued: “Cutting business rates for 70,000 businesses, cutting tax for entrepreneurs, cutting VAT from electricity bills, helping 20 million households with energy bills, scrapping standing charges, capping bus fares, investing in our high streets, extending parental pay, tackling rough sleeping.” Ms Haigh said Mr Burghart did not “seem impressed”, adding “the only Government that has had more of an impact in a shorter space of time was the one he served under” led by Liz Truss, at a time when the overall rate of inflation was approaching its peak at 11.1%.

Welfare spending is forecast to rise by £19 billion over this year to £353 billion. The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts it will rise to £431 billion by the 2031-32 financial year, largely driven by health-related and pensioner benefits. During their exchange, Mr Burghart also asked about Mr Burnham’s promise to draw up a 10-year plan for the country, which he made during his first speech after becoming Prime Minister earlier this year.

“I’m old enough to remember Keir Starmer’s 10-year plan because it was six months ago,” 49-year-old Mr Burghart said, to laughter. “This is the only political party in history to have two 10-year plans in 10 months. “But given that the Labour Party is experimenting with planning, can it commit to reduce this record welfare bill, the highest welfare bill ever, as part of its 10-year plan?” The First Secretary replied: “We are taking steps already to bring the welfare bill down – and we’ll take further.

“We’ve committed to legislate but every week, the opposition party comes and brings the same problems with the same messes that we inherited on welfare, on defence, on immigration, on the economy. “This Labour Government are committed to tackling it all.”

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About this analysis

LBC reports that Louise Haigh stood in for Andy Burnham at Prime Minister's Questions. Under questioning from Alex Burghart, she declined to rule out tax rises to pay for welfare spending. LBC quotes Haigh and Burghart at length and attributes each claim to the person who made it. It gives the welfare figures with their source and what drives them. LBC does not mislead its reader.

What it gets right

  • “The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts it will rise to £431 billion by the 2031-32 financial year, largely driven by health-related and pensioner benefits.”

    LBC names the source of the forecast, the period it covers and what drives the rise, so the reader does not mistake the headline figure for working-age benefits alone.

  • “has declined to rule out tax rises to pay for higher welfare spending”

    The opening line reports exactly what Haigh did and did not say, matching the quotes in the body and the other coverage of the session.

  • “We know why because the Welfare Secretary (Pat McFadden) told us”

    Burghart's accusations, including the claim about Haigh's role in the welfare rebellion, stay inside his quoted words and are never adopted in LBC's own voice.

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