Daily Mail, on UK Politics, 30 October 2026

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following claims he was facing an £11billion 'black hole' in his defence spending plans. The Chancellor vowed to spend 3 per cent of GDP on defence by 2030 – when ministers fear Russia could attack Europe – and to hit a Nato target of 3.5 per cent by 2035. But the former defence secretary refused to say how he would fulfil either promise until next year, fuelling accusations he was stalling for time and had no concrete plan.

The head of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said Labour would need to find £11billion extra to hit the 2030 goal, while the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said the 2035 ambition would cost £35billion. 'On defence, John Healey confirmed 2030 as a target date to get spending to 3 per cent of GDP, but I'm still no wiser as to how he plans to get there, let alone to 3.5 per cent by 2035,' said Helen Miller, the IFS's director.

The Government is currently spending around 2.6 per cent of GDP on defence and had previously committed to spending 2.7 per cent by 2030 before Mr Healey announced his uplift on Wednesday. Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, John Healey, holds up the traditional red ministerial box outside No 11 Downing Street before departing to the House of Commons to deliver the first budget under Prime Minister Andy Burnham's government on October 28 Pictured: Royal Marine Commandos line up to storm a compound during a live exercise demonstration at Bovington Camp in Dorset But in a further blow, Ms Miller said she was unsure about Labour's commitment to finding the spending increases. 'I'm also sceptical because I didn't hear John Healey starting the kind of pitch-rolling that you would expect if he intended to deliver these spending plans.

And I'm sceptical because history advises scepticism,' she added. 'When Chancellors pencil in tight spending plans in the future, they tend not to deliver.' Mr Healey was unrepentant over his maiden Budget, spending much of yesterday morning . 'I make absolutely no apologies. If we can take some steps that might help around the margins, we will do that,' Mr Healey told the BBC. But in an , Admiral Lord West, a Labour peer, accused the Chancellor of 'betraying' the Armed Forces by stalling on his spending plans. 'He has kicked this into the long grass and has let us down on defence,' the retired Royal Navy boss told the Daily Mail. 'Healey stabbed Sir Keir Starmer in the back and got a nice job [as Chancellor] and now he is quite happy not to push defence … it's outrageous.

It's a betrayal.' His intervention came just days after Wes Streeting, the Defence Secretary, warned the nation had 1,000 days to prepare for war. Mr Healey dramatically quit as defence secretary in June after Sir Keir tried to force him into accepting less cash for the military. In a blistering resignation letter, he accused the former prime minister of being 'unable' to stump up the money needed. He also suggested spending 3 per cent on defence was a 'must' and that failing to do so put the country at risk.

Left out here: Leaves out what changes the picture

The article never says that Nato secretary general Mark Rutte welcomed Healey's defence statement. Without it, a reader takes the reaction from defence quarters to be wholly negative.

But James Cartlidge, the shadow defence secretary, criticised the Chancellor, telling the Daily Mail: 'In the Budget he completely failed to deliver on his own red line – leaving himself a massive black hole in defence spending … this will surely be another broken promise from Labour at a time when the threats are only growing.' An IFS official warned would need to be made by the Government to achieve the Chancellor's spending ambition. 'The pain is going to come from somewhere – £11billion is a massive amount to make up,' they said.

Ms Miller added she was 'grumpy' over Mr Healey's plan to raid capital reserves to fund the £4.7billion hole in the Defence Investment Plan (DIP), left over by Starmer's government. 'Much of it came from further cuts to the capital budgets of other government departments... This is categorically not what the reserves are for,' she said. The Daily Mail is campaigning for significantly increased spending on our Armed Forces. During a debate on the Budget yesterday, Tory shadow chancellor Andrew Griffith accused Mr Healey of 'ducking' a decision on military spending which he said would make the country 'less secure'. 'Britain is walking along a fiscal cliff edge, and the Government has decided this is the moment to close their eyes,' Mr Griffith told MPs.

READ MORE: Humiliation for Healey: Chancellor is forced into screeching U-turn just hours after promising to cut welfare bill before next election READ MORE: Landlords warn Budget tax rise will force them to raise rents READ MORE: Budget watchdog's worst case scenario for oil 'has already been reached'

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What we found (4)

The Daily Mail's headline states an £11billion 'black hole' as its own fact. The body reports this only as claims and as the IFS's estimate of what the 2030 pledge would cost. The article fills its space with Healey's critics, leaves out a former Nato chief's public backing given the night before, and uses loaded words in its own voice.

  1. Headline goes beyond the article

    Minor

    “£11billion black hole through the middle of Healey's defence vow”

    Why this matters
    The headline states in the Mail's own voice that there is an £11billion 'black hole' in Healey's defence pledge, with no attribution and no quotation marks.
    The impression it gives
    That a gap or shortfall of £11billion has been found in Healey's plans as established fact.
    The context
    The body opens by calling this 'claims' and puts 'black hole' in quotation marks. The £11billion is the IFS head's estimate of the extra money needed to reach the 2030 target, not a discovered hole in the accounts. Lord Robertson told LBC that Healey has to find about £10 billion a year and called the pledge a cast-iron commitment.

    How we know

    Show it in the article

  2. One side gets the space

    Minor

    “Backlash over John Healey's Budget intensified yesterday”

    Why this matters
    The Mail frames the reaction as a building backlash. It then quotes only critics: the IFS, Lord West, James Cartlidge and Andrew Griffith. Healey's own reply is cut to two short lines.
    The impression it gives
    That reaction to the defence pledge was uniformly hostile and nobody of standing backed it.
    The context
    The evening before publication, former Nato secretary general Lord Robertson publicly backed Healey's pledge on LBC. The article gives no voice to anyone who defended it.

    How we know

    Show it in the article

  3. Uses a loaded word

    Minor

    “furiously defending it”

    Why this matters
    The Mail describes Healey's broadcast interviews as 'furiously' defending the Budget.
    The impression it gives
    That Healey was angry and on the back foot.
    The context
    The only words of his the article quotes are measured: no apologies, and steps that 'might help around the margins'. Nothing in them shows fury.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“might help around the margins”

    Show it in the article

    “extraordinary broadside”

    Why this matters
    The Mail calls a Labour peer's criticism an 'extraordinary broadside' in its own voice.
    The impression it gives
    That the criticism is exceptional and especially damaging.
    The context
    It is one retired admiral's quoted opinion given to the Mail itself. The label adds weight the article does not demonstrate.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“the retired Royal Navy boss told the Daily Mail”

    Show it in the article

    “punishing cuts”

    Why this matters
    The Mail attributes a warning of 'punishing cuts' to an unnamed IFS official.
    The impression it gives
    That the IFS warned of punishing cuts.
    The context
    The official's quoted words say only that the pain will come from somewhere and that £11billion is a lot to find. 'Punishing' is the Mail's word.

    How we know

    • Elsewhere in the article“The pain is going to come from somewhere”

    Show it in the article

  4. Leaves out what changes the picture

    Minor

    What is missing

    The article never says that Nato secretary general Mark Rutte welcomed Healey's defence statement. Without it, a reader takes the reaction from defence quarters to be wholly negative.

    Show where it belongs

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