The New York Times, on Climate, 26 October 2026

3.0out of 10Minor

Maps: Tracking Tropical Depression Olana

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Tracking Tropical Depression Olana By The New York Times Updated Oct. 26, 2026 at 10:43 a.m. E.T. Share full article Olana was a tropical depression in the North Pacific Ocean early Monday Hawaii time, the National Hurricane Center said in its latest advisory . Forecast wind speeds and direction The New York Times Where will it rain? Flash flooding can occur well inland and away from the storm’s center. 1-day forecast precipitation 1 2 3 5 10+ inches The New York Times What does the storm look like from above?

Satellite imagery can help determine the strength, size and cohesion of a storm. The stronger a storm becomes, the more likely an eye will form in the center. When the eye looks symmetrical, that often means the storm is not encountering anything to weaken it. The New York Times Typically, storms in the North Central Pacific that have wandered in from near North America keep their original names, as determined by the World Meteorological Association.

Storms are given a traditional Hawaiian name when they form in the Central Pacific. Storms often come close to Hawaii and affect the weather, but a direct landfall of a named storm on a Hawaiian island is rare since the land area is relatively small. Even a brush from one of these storms can cause problems. In 2020, Hurricane Douglas didn’t make a direct hit on the islands, but it produced damaging winds. Sources and notes Tracking map Tracking data is from the National Hurricane Center.

The map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. Intensity chart Best track and forecast path are from the National Hurricane Center. Forecast models are from University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. Wind arrivals table Arrival times are generated from a New York Times analysis of National Hurricane Center data.

Geographic locations use data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Natural Earth. Time zones are based on Google. The table shows predicted arrival times of sustained, damaging winds of 58 m.p.h. or more for select cities with a chance of such winds reaching them. If damaging winds reach a location, there is no more than a 10 percent chance that they will arrive before the “earliest reasonable” time and a 50 percent chance they will arrive before the “most likely” time.

Radar map Radar imagery is from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Storm surge map Storm surge data is from the National Hurricane Center. Forecasts only include the United States Gulf and Atlantic coasts, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The actual areas that could become flooded may differ from the areas shown on this map. This map accounts for tides, but not waves and not flooding caused by rainfall. The map also includes intertidal areas, which routinely flood during typical high tides.

Rip currents map Rip current data is from the National Hurricane Center. Rip current risk shown is not always associated with active tropical cyclones. Satellite map Imagery is from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Japanese Meteorological Agency via the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere. Precipitation map Data for multi-day forecasts or observed rainfall totals are from the National Weather Service.

The 1-day forecast is from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Credits By William B. Davis, Madison Dong, Judson Jones, John Keefe, Joey K. Lee and Bea Malsky.

Read the original article on nytimes.com (opens in a new tab)
What we found (1)

The New York Times publishes a storm tracker for Tropical Depression Olana, with sourced maps, forecast notes and warnings that even weak storms can bring flooding rain. It never says that a warming climate is making heavy rainfall and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe. Its data notes are carefully sourced and nothing else in it misleads.

  1. Leaves out the climate link

    Minor

    “Even weaker storms can produce excessive rainfall that can flood low-lying areas.”

    Why this matters
    The Times warns readers that even weaker storms can produce excessive rainfall and flooding, but gives no word on how a warmer climate bears on such rainfall.
    The impression it gives
    A reader comes away treating flooding rain from tropical storms as a fixed natural hazard, unchanged by the planet having warmed.
    The context
    Human-caused warming has made heavy rainfall and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe. The tracker never mentions climate or warming anywhere. This is a data tool for a tropical depression with no harm yet reported, so the gap is minor.

    How we know

    • On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
    • Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “climate” and “warming”.

    Show it in the article

What it gets right

  • “the National Hurricane Center said in its latest advisory”

    The Times attributes the storm's status to the official forecaster rather than asserting it in its own voice.

  • “The actual areas that could become flooded may differ from the areas shown on this map.”

    The Times tells readers plainly what its storm surge map cannot show, so they do not take it as a complete flood forecast.

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