Tracking Tropical Cyclone Arnab By The New York Times Updated Oct. 26, 2026 at 9:38 a.m. E.T. Share full article Arnab was a tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal Monday evening India Standard Time, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center said in its latest advisory . Forecast wind speeds and direction The New York Times Where will it rain? Flash flooding can occur well inland and away from the storm’s center. Even weaker storms can produce excessive rainfall that can flood low-lying areas. 1-day forecast precipitation 1 2 3 5 10+ inches The New York Times What does the storm look like from above?
Satellite imagery can help determine the strength, size and cohesion of a storm. The stronger a storm becomes, the more likely an eye will form in the center. When the eye looks symmetrical, that often means the storm is not encountering anything to weaken it. The New York Times An average of five named storms form annually in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. When a storm’s winds reach hurricane strength (74 m.p.h. or stronger) in the Indian Ocean, they are locally called cyclones.
Unlike other regions in the world, the Indian Ocean’s cyclone season has two peaks, a primary peak in November and a secondary peak in May, before and after the monsoon in India — usually from June to September. Sources and notes Tracking map Tracking data is from the National Hurricane Center. The map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location.
Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. Satellite map Imagery is from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Japanese Meteorological Agency via the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere. Precipitation map Data for multi-day forecasts or observed rainfall totals are from the National Weather Service. The 1-day forecast is from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Credits By William B. Davis, Madison Dong, Judson Jones, John Keefe, Joey K. Lee and Bea Malsky.
The New York Times tracks Cyclone Arnab in the Bay of Bengal and explains how cyclones form, strengthen and flood inland areas. It never says that human-caused warming is making intense tropical cyclones and heavy rainfall more frequent or more severe. A reader gets the storm's mechanics and seasons as if the climate were not changing.
Leaves out the climate link
Serious
“Arnab was a tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal Monday evening India Standard Time”
Why this matters
The Times introduces Cyclone Arnab as a tropical cyclone and then explains its wind, rain and structure. Nowhere in the piece does it say warming is making storms like this worse.
The impression it gives
A reader comes away believing Arnab is a routine natural event with no link to a warming climate.
The context
Human-caused warming has made intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe. This storm was serious enough that two Indian states were preparing to evacuate thousands of people.
How we know
On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
“Even weaker storms can produce excessive rainfall that can flood low-lying areas.”
Why this matters
The Times warns of excessive rainfall and flooding from storms but gives only storm strength as the cause.
The impression it gives
A reader believes the flooding risk from cyclone rain depends only on the storm itself, unchanged by a warming world.
The context
Warming has made heavy rainfall more frequent and more intense, which raises the flood risk from storms like Arnab.
How we know
On the recordThat warming has made hot extremes, heavy rainfall, agricultural and ecological drought, fire weather and intense tropical cyclones more frequent or more severe.ipcc.ch (opens in a new tab)
Checked against the whole articleIt never uses the words “warming”.
Arnab was a tropical cyclone in the Bay of Bengal on Monday evening, India Standard Time, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center said. Human-caused warming is making intense tropical cyclones and the heavy rain they bring more likely.